CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x588b0b5a19b2abffdb93fcd426e0305dfea10c2b3a7746d0a61e4d7a6e5f8259
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Walczakiof Walczaki, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked 3DMAX | 35c | 6,051$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.31 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Walczaki | 63c | 3,535$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.21 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed 3DMAX | 19c | 1,833$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.91 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed 3DMAX | 21c | 1,597$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.36 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Walczaki | 69c | 1,150$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.5 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked 3DMAX | 48c | 1,125$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.67 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Walczaki | 53c | 936.15$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.7 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed 3DMAX | 65c | 769.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.49 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…6ac3backed 3DMAX | 38c | 759.51$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.65 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Walczaki | 35c | 604.9$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.19 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 3DMAX | 16c | 583.26$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.49 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Walczaki | 68c | 570$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.15 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Walczaki | 67c | 538.91$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.39 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Walczaki | 64c | 492.83$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.18 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed 3DMAX | 51c | 403.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.91 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Walczaki | 52c | 330.65$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.89 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Walczaki | 78c | 328.02$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.03 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked 3DMAX | 53c | 320$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Walczaki | 62c | 307.4$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.81 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Walczaki | 61c | 284.88$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.69 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed 3DMAX | 27c | 281.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Walczaki | 63c | 251.16$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.98 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked Walczaki | 55c | 231.32$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.59 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed 3DMAX | 34c | 229.68$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed 3DMAX | 18c | 228.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Walczaki | 60c | 206.91$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.06 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Walczaki | 76c | 176$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Walczaki | 42c | 166.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.66 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Walczaki | 62c | 161.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Walczaki | 65c | 159.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Walczaki | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked 3DMAX | 34c | 141$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe30a…fcd8backed Walczaki | 75c | 130.79$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Walczaki | 63c | 114.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Walczaki | 35c | 114.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.27 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Walczaki | 62c | 104.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Walczaki | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked 3DMAX | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Walczaki | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Walczaki | 65c | 94.12$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Walczaki | 72c | 82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Walczaki | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Walczaki | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Walczaki | 53c | 78.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Walczaki | 57c | 75.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked 3DMAX | 22c | 66.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…2968backed Walczaki | 51c | 63.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed 3DMAX | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Walczaki | 62c | 40.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Walczaki | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Walczaki | 35c | 39.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Walczaki | 55c | 39.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked Walczaki | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Walczaki | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Walczaki | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a6…f22bbacked Walczaki | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Walczaki | 65c | 24.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Walczaki | 77c | 23.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Walczaki | 63c | 21.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…f864backed Walczaki | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Walczaki | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked 3DMAX | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked Walczaki | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 480 | 52.3%251 W · 229 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Walczaki | 55c | 18.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…6e10backed Walczaki | 75c | 18.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 188 | 71.8%135 W · 53 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Walczaki | 56c | 18.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs 3DMAX (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group CWalczaki won
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner3DMAX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Walczaki (+1.5)Walczaki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.