Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. Duquesne Dukes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58b27b3507ef6668ea7d98acded5c27daa1402fe0cb4ec670e678a80c3d5000f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Bonaventure Bonniesof St. Bonaventure Bonnies, Duquesne Dukes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb729…4e2ebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 54c | 24,545$13,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,371.42 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Duquesne Dukes | 46c | 7,046$3,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,233.9 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Duquesne Dukes | 59c | 4,366$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.88 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Duquesne Dukes | 46c | 3,876$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.25 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Duquesne Dukes | 3c | 3,010$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.07 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Duquesne Dukes | 47c | 2,899$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.81 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Duquesne Dukes | 47c | 1,698$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.86 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…53e6backed Duquesne Dukes | 63c | 1,594$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Duquesne Dukes | 53c | 1,411$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.29 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Duquesne Dukes | 46c | 1,322$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.03 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 34c | 893.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.13 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 38c | 812.06$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.46 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 38c | 611.2$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.15 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Duquesne Dukes | 72c | 610$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.7 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Duquesne Dukes | 61c | 571.56$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.65 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 34c | 547.59$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.61 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Duquesne Dukes | 77c | 520.26$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Duquesne Dukes | 69c | 488.76$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.92 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 39c | 487.18$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.18 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Duquesne Dukes | 48c | 408.41$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.28 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Duquesne Dukes | 61c | 405.39$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.29 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Duquesne Dukes | 78c | 399.99$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.99 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Duquesne Dukes | 50c | 268$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.24 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 49c | 226.3$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.3 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Duquesne Dukes | 48c | 217.94$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.82 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 27c | 186.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.19 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 28c | 165.29$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.68 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Duquesne Dukes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 39c | 163.93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Duquesne Dukes | 62c | 149.86$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.91 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 40c | 134.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.65 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Duquesne Dukes | 60c | 134.42$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.65 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 28c | 131.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.41 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e3…2e82backed Duquesne Dukes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Duquesne Dukes | 76c | 113$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.51 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Duquesne Dukes | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 35c | 98.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 21c | 97.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.19 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 28c | 90.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 59c | 81.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 37c | 79.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…6bc8backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 59c | 71.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x862d…2632backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 21c | 47.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Duquesne Dukes | 46c | 45.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 35c | 42.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 32c | 42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 38c | 39.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3a…f047backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 39c | 36.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f9…3f4fbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 64c | 34.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +247.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…5cb5backed Duquesne Dukes | 68c | 25.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Duquesne Dukes | 60c | 25.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 53c | 24.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Duquesne Dukes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…c05fbacked Duquesne Dukes | 61c | 19.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…ffb1backed Duquesne Dukes | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3922…18b0backed Duquesne Dukes | 62c | 17.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…8897backed Duquesne Dukes | 63c | 15.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Duquesne Dukes | 69c | 15.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. Duquesne Dukesthis page
- St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. Duquesne Dukes: O/U 152.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.