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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Fire Flux Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,599
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,426

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,599 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e2c…787cbacked Fire Flux Esports2c18,317$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.684456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Fire Flux Esports39c15,640$6,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,065.653145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Team Liquid61c10,687$6,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,167.8629956.5%169 W · 130 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe183…62e6backed Team Liquid62c4,580$2,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,748.95666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Fire Flux Esports38c2,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86df…d902backed Fire Flux Esports15c1,939$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.0513955.4%77 W · 62 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe415…0445backed Fire Flux Esports14c1,831$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Fire Flux Esports17c1,582$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.3795849.6%475 W · 483 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Fire Flux Esports16c1,292$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.6961622.7%140 W · 476 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Liquid62c1,279$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.915444.4%24 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38fe…e150backed Team Liquid62c1,182$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed Fire Flux Esports36c1,163$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.526854.1%145 W · 123 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c05…578fbacked Team Liquid64c1,100$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3961100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91a2…e415backed Fire Flux Esports39c998$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.226251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed Team Liquid63c953.22$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.2234746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Team Liquid61c929$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.965152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b0…180dbacked Fire Flux Esports6c820$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-46.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid80c783.9$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.794648.1%455 W · 491 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a00…bfc3backed Team Liquid62c737.11$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed Team Liquid61c654.97$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.543435.3%12 W · 22 L-5.0wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Team Liquid62c519.5$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.428545.9%39 W · 46 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Liquid73c508$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.3440551.9%210 W · 195 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Fire Flux Esports16c505$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.836338.6%140 W · 223 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Fire Flux Esports25c447.24$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11413748.9%67 W · 70 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Fire Flux Esports37c424.86$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-73.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed Fire Flux Esports39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15618949.2%93 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Fire Flux Esports36c400$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.451,27149.6%630 W · 641 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Fire Flux Esports34c373.42$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2148747%229 W · 258 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec92…98fcbacked Fire Flux Esports3c359.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.19520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-60%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Team Liquid61c328$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12836157.6%208 W · 153 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1679…e5e1backed Team Liquid61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1171060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Fire Flux Esports20c298$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9872043.3%312 W · 408 L-15.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed Team Liquid63c295.23$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.243966.7%26 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Fire Flux Esports26c292.84$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6141231.6%130 W · 282 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Fire Flux Esports37c289.7$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1954641.8%228 W · 318 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Fire Flux Esports20c286.14$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2575642.7%323 W · 433 L-27.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked Fire Flux Esports38c256.41$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.443737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Fire Flux Esports27c247.21$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.151,51746.6%707 W · 810 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Team Liquid62c227.42$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.42785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Fire Flux Esports27c214$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.071,32943.6%580 W · 749 L-47.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Fire Flux Esports36c207.61$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.744250%21 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Liquid79c204.7$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3442146.1%194 W · 227 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Liquid62c194.99$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.18354.2%45 W · 38 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x797b…26d2backed Team Liquid62c193.54$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.551464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+49.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Fire Flux Esports37c191.15$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7326442.4%112 W · 152 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc222…f6ccbacked Fire Flux Esports30c186.69$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.77850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcda…5e95backed Fire Flux Esports30c182.81$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0212455.6%69 W · 55 L+0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9135…8d9cbacked Fire Flux Esports26c178$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Fire Flux Esports39c176.22$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0842747.1%201 W · 226 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d25…0f79backed Team Liquid61c155.74$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.742766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Fire Flux Esports36c154.72$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.717350.3%87 W · 86 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Fire Flux Esports17c151$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0879944.3%354 W · 445 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fire Flux Esports37c122.58$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.891,39647.3%661 W · 735 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40aa…e51ebacked Team Liquid65c113.93$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.221957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf21d…2e9abacked Team Liquid61c109.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.927559.3%163 W · 112 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2eba…0f3abacked Fire Flux Esports35c107.91$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7720850.5%105 W · 103 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Fire Flux Esports17c101.74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173540%14 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Fire Flux Esports15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-52.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Fire Flux Esports21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2135247.2%166 W · 186 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe02f…e825backed Team Liquid63c99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.441384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick59cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Fire Flux Esports14c96.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.938746%40 W · 47 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ae4…9b8fbacked Fire Flux Esports11c93.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1111045.5%50 W · 60 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed Team Liquid77c91.34$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9144459.5%264 W · 180 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Fire Flux Esports27c84.93$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9392933.2%308 W · 621 L-91.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf437…d954backed Fire Flux Esports14c76.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+24.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4da…3f9dbacked Fire Flux Esports40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2805…a007backed Team Liquid62c68.48$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.022365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Fire Flux Esports16c66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7834357.1%196 W · 147 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Fire Flux Esports39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018439.7%73 W · 111 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x947d…dff0backed Fire Flux Esports37c51.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.911926.3%5 W · 14 L-5.3wins-0.28per pick54cpaid-56%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8b81…613dbacked Team Liquid59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.55145.1%23 W · 28 L-7.5wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-27.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Team Liquid63c44.3$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3920346.3%94 W · 109 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed Team Liquid62c40.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.274763.8%30 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Fire Flux Esports37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.88446.4%39 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6f0c…a691backed Fire Flux Esports25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1110845.4%49 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0f…2deebacked Team Liquid62c35.32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.427255.6%40 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b7…5f6bbacked Fire Flux Esports39c31.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510758.9%63 W · 44 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1924…8e55backed Team Liquid63c31.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.611560%9 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+54.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ddd…1ad3backed Team Liquid57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.94353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb627…d968backed Team Liquid62c16.09$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.034963.3%31 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x104b…e9cebacked Team Liquid78c12.9$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.841968.4%13 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick77cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.