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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Fire Flux Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,062
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,260

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,062 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x82dc…5700backed Team Liquid62c6,437$3,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,457.6557757.7%333 W · 244 L+35.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid65c5,075$3,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,784.654555.4%302 W · 243 L+24.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e9…67ffbacked Fire Flux Esports46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.986944.9%31 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Fire Flux Esports10c2,956$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.714456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Liquid77c2,922$2,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.8842146.1%194 W · 227 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Fire Flux Esports44c2,000$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.6729045.2%131 W · 159 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59cb…57d1backed Team Liquid54c1,851$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.445453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Fire Flux Esports41c1,619$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.911,29432.4%419 W · 875 L-65.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe183…62e6backed Fire Flux Esports46c1,446$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.17666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb7…278bbacked Fire Flux Esports43c1,142$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Fire Flux Esports8c1,047$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7861622.7%140 W · 476 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Fire Flux Esports29c1,026$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.2272043.3%312 W · 408 L-15.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0284…97f6backed Team Liquid54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Fire Flux Esports8c919.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.015639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Fire Flux Esports17c855.59$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.378040%32 W · 48 L-15.7wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-40%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Fire Flux Esports34c803.84$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.0785737.9%325 W · 532 L-53.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed Fire Flux Esports46c796.89$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.4234746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed Fire Flux Esports46c742.46$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.5326854.1%145 W · 123 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x253e…84e4backed Team Liquid54c726.77$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.585641.1%23 W · 33 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb961…5554backed Fire Flux Esports3c720$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.64221.4%9 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed Fire Flux Esports45c620.6$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.271827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-39.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Team Liquid62c581.48$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.348545.9%39 W · 46 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Team Liquid52c535.33$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.9642747.1%201 W · 226 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed Fire Flux Esports26c519.29$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3314045%63 W · 77 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Liquid70c417.85$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.7340551.9%210 W · 195 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Fire Flux Esports39c391.66$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.381,27149.6%630 W · 641 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked Team Liquid60c370.83$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.331855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Fire Flux Esports31c318.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked Fire Flux Esports31c317.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.033737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Fire Flux Esports47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.130141.2%124 W · 177 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde4b…1222backed Team Liquid53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1414562.2%28 W · 17 L+7.0wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+31.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed Fire Flux Esports46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13818949.2%93 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Team Liquid53c299.99$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14154641.8%228 W · 318 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86df…d902backed Fire Flux Esports36c272.16$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3813955.4%77 W · 62 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Fire Flux Esports33c235.64$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0294648.1%455 W · 491 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Team Liquid65c235.06$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.987138%27 W · 44 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Fire Flux Esports21c220$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4792933.2%308 W · 621 L-91.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x546b…1582backed Fire Flux Esports48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed Fire Flux Esports47c193.26$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8312245.9%56 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Fire Flux Esports16c183.59$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.121,62945%733 W · 896 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4da…3f9dbacked Fire Flux Esports17c175.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Fire Flux Esports9c174.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2448747%229 W · 258 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed Fire Flux Esports47c170.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Fire Flux Esports31c168.53$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.244027.5%11 W · 29 L-6.2wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-44%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Fire Flux Esports9c166.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.491,61937.5%607 W · 1,012 L-75.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Fire Flux Esports48c156.25$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754250%21 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Fire Flux Esports40c153.08$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.761,32943.6%580 W · 749 L-47.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Fire Flux Esports35c142.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.988936%32 W · 57 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Fire Flux Esports18c129$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.751,00645.9%462 W · 544 L-28.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…4eecbacked Fire Flux Esports47c117.02$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5519344.6%86 W · 107 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a56…c6e0backed Fire Flux Esports46c114.2$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5311258.9%66 W · 46 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Fire Flux Esports17c110.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5979944.3%354 W · 445 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcda…5e95backed Fire Flux Esports47c107.71$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.112455.6%69 W · 55 L+0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf397…f3c8backed Team Liquid65c104.62$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.622875%21 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2253…e358backed Fire Flux Esports43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ddd…1ad3backed Fire Flux Esports47c90$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.34353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Liquid73c87.21$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.51,51746.6%707 W · 810 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b79…4742backed Fire Flux Esports47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8d3…c0d1backed Team Liquid54c83.33$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3322956.8%130 W · 99 L+11.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed Fire Flux Esports26c80.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2144942.8%192 W · 257 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Fire Flux Esports22c74.28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0595849.6%475 W · 483 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cef…dbcbbacked Team Liquid54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0721246.2%98 W · 114 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed Team Liquid54c71.03$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6744459.5%264 W · 180 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a18…dac8backed Fire Flux Esports19c65.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.279054.4%49 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Team Liquid63c62.55$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4134357.1%196 W · 147 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc815…ecfabacked Fire Flux Esports48c62.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7916752.1%87 W · 80 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Fire Flux Esports29c59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3311041.8%46 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Fire Flux Esports20c55.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.375642.7%323 W · 433 L-27.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Team Liquid61c55.1$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.646467.2%43 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb66e…ffc2backed Team Liquid55c54.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.423040%12 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bd2…0985backed Fire Flux Esports31c52.87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.62441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b55…cbc6backed Team Liquid57c52.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.525056%28 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf21d…2e9abacked Team Liquid54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.127559.3%163 W · 112 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e49…e7debacked Team Liquid76c48.7$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5807…74dcbacked Team Liquid54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.39555.8%53 W · 42 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-5.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81ea…21e1backed Fire Flux Esports28c45.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.88616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x947d…dff0backed Fire Flux Esports48c40.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.591926.3%5 W · 14 L-5.3wins-0.28per pick54cpaid-56%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5e0f…2deebacked Fire Flux Esports40c36.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.67255.6%40 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Fire Flux Esports29c36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.515446.1%71 W · 83 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa62b…58aabacked Team Liquid62c32.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.315048%24 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b81…613dbacked Team Liquid54c30.47$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.125145.1%23 W · 28 L-7.5wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-27.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf161…0d3dbacked Fire Flux Esports47c29.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+49.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Liquid75c26.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.661,39647.3%661 W · 735 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Team Liquid76c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659150.8%300 W · 291 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1025…fbfabacked Team Liquid65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.082937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x395a…eb72backed Team Liquid69c20.2$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.312483.3%20 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1924…8e55backed Team Liquid53c20.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.491560%9 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+54.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Team Liquid63c19.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.277156.3%40 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6428…c83abacked Team Liquid55c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.57875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb47…4737backed Team Liquid76c15.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.824877.1%37 W · 11 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.