MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x611d6603ef0f9fd2a65a7e71edb8a5e02980f6e772441ab6f1fb3b15da8f1686
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Orioles, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 22c | 5,373$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.1 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Athletics | 47c | 3,797$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.66 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Orioles | 39c | 3,410$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.22 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Orioles | 53c | 2,342$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.26 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Orioles | 53c | 1,904$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…1070backed Orioles | 13c | 1,569$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Orioles | 55c | 1,500$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Orioles | 47c | 1,236$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.22 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Orioles | 53c | 1,231$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.67 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Athletics | 73c | 1,052$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.82 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Orioles | 1c | 1,019$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Orioles | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Orioles | 55c | 954.12$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.97 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Orioles | 16c | 928.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Orioles | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 46c | 886.76$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.85 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Orioles | 7c | 740.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 46c | 698.32$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.78 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Athletics | 77c | 560.42$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.99 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Athletics | 55c | 539.11$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.42 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Athletics | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Athletics | 43c | 531.43$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.43 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Athletics | 66c | 525.3$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.39 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Athletics | 42c | 503.53$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.04 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Orioles | 48c | 469$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.04 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 6c | 459.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Athletics | 44c | 444.88$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.53 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…9ad0backed Orioles | 57c | 350$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Orioles | 6c | 301.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Orioles | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Orioles | 56c | 283.52$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Orioles | 31c | 266.86$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.23 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Orioles | 12c | 253.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Orioles | 4c | 252.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Athletics | 43c | 242.95$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.48 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Orioles | 43c | 220.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Athletics | 47c | 202$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.06 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Orioles | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Orioles | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Orioles | 53c | 164.26$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.06 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Orioles | 18c | 154.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Athletics | 43c | 154.24$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.92 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Athletics | 55c | 152.88$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Athletics | 74c | 152$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…7153backed Athletics | 47c | 127.94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Athletics | 49c | 123.78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.71 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Athletics | 60c | 120.04$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Orioles | 29c | 113.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…abf1backed Orioles | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Orioles | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Orioles | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Orioles | 58c | 98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Orioles | 14c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Orioles | 52c | 79.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Orioles | 57c | 66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Orioles | 28c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Orioles | 57c | 62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Athletics | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Orioles | 57c | 56.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Athletics | 48c | 52.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f4…9b46backed Orioles | 54c | 51.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a14…da4abacked Athletics | 47c | 50.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Orioles | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Athletics | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Orioles | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…2193backed Orioles | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…6ee2backed Orioles | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Orioles | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Athletics | 77c | 34.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Orioles | 49c | 34.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…b038backed Orioles | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…4d07backed Athletics | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -6.1wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 58c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Orioles | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Athletics | 78c | 25.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cd…cc58backed Athletics | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Athletics | 42c | 23.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96f…f768backed Orioles | 58c | 20.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Orioles | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e58…9f1ebacked Orioles | 53c | 19.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef2…af8abacked Orioles | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.