Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x612adad7081bddee174f7d6bef6ad91a69a22ad4634e26240f87114aa713683a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 32c | 949.99$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.44 | 4,505 | 19.6%882 W · 3,623 L | +47.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed No | 63c | 787.85$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.5 | 1,065 | 35.1%374 W · 691 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 3c | 532.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 1,370 | 20.7%283 W · 1,087 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 22c | 467.45$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.77 | 10,952 | 37.4%4,094 W · 6,858 L | +432.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 70c | 442.14$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.34 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 15c | 415.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 6,905 | 53.1%3,666 W · 3,239 L | +422.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 17c | 411.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4,313 | 53.6%2,311 W · 2,002 L | +158.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 67c | 332.39$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.9 | 3,064 | 33.5%1,027 W · 2,037 L | +13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 30c | 327.73$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.53 | 6,891 | 39.4%2,717 W · 4,174 L | +269.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 69c | 311.06$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.88 | 631 | 22.5%142 W · 489 L | -29.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 23c | 274.75$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.45 | 3,939 | 23.2%913 W · 3,026 L | +125.2wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 38c | 248.42$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.35 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 19c | 212.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 2,304 | 27%622 W · 1,682 L | -41.0wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 31c | 201.23$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 4,442 | 53.7%2,387 W · 2,055 L | -17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…6616backed Yes | 37c | 193.95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.63 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 176.74$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.25 | 6,166 | 49.3%3,038 W · 3,128 L | -117.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 45c | 174$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 4,148 | 56.7%2,351 W · 1,797 L | +51.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…0bd3backed Yes | 26c | 160$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.3 | 512 | 35.9%184 W · 328 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 9c | 156.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 7,233 | 9.3%675 W · 6,558 L | -1,116.1wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…9fc4backed No | 28c | 151.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 39c | 142.85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.14 | 2,230 | 23.8%531 W · 1,699 L | +89.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…41ccbacked Yes | 68c | 140.42$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 282 | 51.1%144 W · 138 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2693…28a3backed No | 76c | 130.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 60c | 126.86$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.82 | 12,545 | 46.9%5,879 W · 6,666 L | -39.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 76c | 125.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.64 | 4,467 | 65.1%2,907 W · 1,560 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 59c | 120.67$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.19 | 2,189 | 59.7%1,306 W · 883 L | +26.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 5,489 | 56%3,075 W · 2,414 L | -123.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd41…ea0bbacked Yes | 27c | 114.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.2 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…76f5backed Yes | 22c | 112.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.96 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 30c | 109$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 921 | 45.6%420 W · 501 L | -29.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed No | 66c | 105.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb3…2c94backed No | 18c | 103.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 183 | 19.7%36 W · 147 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…cd3cbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -13.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…aa69backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 308 | 49%151 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd48…1e93backed Yes | 52c | 96.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc878…a6f3backed Yes | 26c | 93.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.32 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 68c | 93$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes | 27c | 92.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +28.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 28c | 90.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 1,156 | 31.1%359 W · 797 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd30d…fd5dbacked No | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 74c | 83.42$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 917 | 73.2%671 W · 246 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66c…7c32backed Yes | 73c | 81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 50c | 80.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 12,975 | 20.5%2,666 W · 10,309 L | -2,698.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e9…4a3cbacked Yes | 26c | 78.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 27c | 75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,301 | 32.9%428 W · 873 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 23c | 65.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 9,962 | 45.9%4,572 W · 5,390 L | -309.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 74c | 62.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed Yes | 27c | 62.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 499 | 51.7%258 W · 241 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9907…8a50backed No | 37c | 61.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 2,215 | 74%1,638 W · 577 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbf…d779backed Yes | 52c | 55.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…ca22backed No | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 77c | 47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 3,126 | 61.8%1,931 W · 1,195 L | -30.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 25c | 45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 74c | 44.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 4,739 | 47.5%2,249 W · 2,490 L | -186.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Yes | 45c | 44.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 68c | 42.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 71c | 42.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,240 | 49.3%1,104 W · 1,136 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1f…eb96backed No | 75c | 40.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 235 | 46.4%109 W · 126 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1,826 | 62.9%1,149 W · 677 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa016…67c2backed Yes | 30c | 37.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 511 | 56.6%289 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 78c | 35.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 580 | 53.4%310 W · 270 L | -26.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a3…121fbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…8bfebacked Yes | 45c | 34.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 230 | 66.5%153 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 70c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 5,193 | 68.3%3,546 W · 1,647 L | +70.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7274…c205backed Yes | 48c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 218 | 60.1%131 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 51c | 31.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 74c | 30.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 10,044 | 44.8%4,500 W · 5,544 L | +257.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…bf4abacked Yes | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 73c | 26.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 781 | 51.9%405 W · 376 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1c…b366backed Yes | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb141…aa3bbacked No | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 125 | 53.6%67 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…e4f9backed Yes | 43c | 24.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc756…0ec3backed Yes | 47c | 23.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 132 | 66.7%88 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 45c | 23.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 3,725 | 33.8%1,258 W · 2,467 L | -194.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 76c | 23.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 75c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 3,810 | 65.8%2,508 W · 1,302 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked No | 63c | 22.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 289 | 42.9%124 W · 165 L | +25.0wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96e6…fecebacked Yes | 46c | 21.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 265 | 42.6%113 W · 152 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…f207backed No | 75c | 17.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 79c | 17.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x232a…4895backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…3f79backed No | 73c | 14.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 575 | 59.7%343 W · 232 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 79c | 13.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 7,592 | 37.5%2,849 W · 4,743 L | +96.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.