Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63481408eb20ec4a4e7505edd1161e859a541fa373dfa68c9155335639050738
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 48c | 460.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.94 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 44c | 370.93$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.39 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 48c | 363.88$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.77 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…ead7backed Yes | 60c | 214.09$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 54c | 203$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.03 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 47c | 184$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 56c | 175.72$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.81 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 11c | 173.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf839…4407backed No | 63c | 154.32$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 28c | 145.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 68c | 143.82$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 45c | 133.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.19 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 11c | 132.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 32c | 126$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 40c | 121.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 49c | 120.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed No | 49c | 111.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 341 | 51.3%175 W · 166 L | -26.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 46c | 107$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 41c | 106.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…ab1abacked No | 53c | 103.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 254 | 66.9%170 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851d…a743backed No | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 89.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 43c | 86.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 43c | 86.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.39 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 60c | 80.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 54c | 76.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 57c | 72.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 55c | 71.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 49c | 70.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 48c | 69.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 30c | 69.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…ad82backed Yes | 39c | 69.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…922ebacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…39d7backed No | 22c | 58.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 297 | 17.2%51 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 54c | 58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 55c | 54.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 37c | 53.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…a763backed No | 56c | 51.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed Yes | 63c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 59c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 33c | 49.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 71c | 48.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 36c | 48.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 50c | 45.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 54c | 44.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 57c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3df9…2bddbacked No | 35c | 43.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 191 | 23.6%45 W · 146 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…64adbacked Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 213 | 39%83 W · 130 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 46c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 44c | 37.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 65c | 37.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c92…7438backed Yes | 57c | 36.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 55c | 36.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 55c | 36.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 57c | 35.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 71c | 32.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe54c…2c69backed Yes | 42c | 32.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 255 | 60.8%155 W · 100 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc857…7c22backed No | 50c | 31.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 63c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 45c | 30.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 65c | 30.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 44c | 30.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked Yes | 46c | 30.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked No | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 42c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…0408backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 54c | 26.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f32cbacked No | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked No | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7603…2276backed No | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 146 | 74.7%109 W · 37 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 43c | 23.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 849 | 30.6%260 W · 589 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6251…8f7bbacked Yes | 62c | 22.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 22.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…3666backed No | 61c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…008abacked No | 50c | 21.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 51c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 305 | 65.9%201 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked Yes | 51c | 20.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…9f33backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 351 | 68.4%240 W · 111 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e7…8b59backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 434 | 41.5%180 W · 254 L | +29.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 353 | 62.9%222 W · 131 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0462…8374backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…2004backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 65c | 19.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c4…45c4backed Yes | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa51…6199backed Yes | 60c | 16.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 622 | 75.2%468 W · 154 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.