WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 180.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63cae38956f474332299d7efb928bac0cd435ff787b5bd9fc42f26570bc0335f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 48c | 10,477$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,002.36 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 52c | 8,971$4,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,306.05 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 1c | 2,323$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 60c | 1,557$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.28 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 56c | 976.99$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.11 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Under | 52c | 897.09$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.6 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 51c | 678.66$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.12 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 41c | 377.23$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.66 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 65c | 346.36$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.78 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 79c | 329.77$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.23 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…2e8abacked Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 67c | 245.97$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.75 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 51c | 240$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.64 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 53c | 238$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.36 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 47c | 226.47$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.14 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 224.73$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.37 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 50c | 216.88$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.22 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Under | 59c | 211$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.78 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Over | 25c | 206$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 49c | 194$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.89 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 189.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 39c | 180$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 49c | 159.89$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.14 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 41c | 144$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 131.96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 130.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.04 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372b…1ad8backed Over | 40c | 124.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Over | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 38c | 117.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 52c | 112.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Over | 26c | 110$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Under | 55c | 108.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Under | 53c | 102$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 52c | 101.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +8.2wins | +0.23per pick | 58cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…7cbebacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Under | 62c | 90.94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 39c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 41c | 82.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Over | 43c | 78.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Under | 54c | 74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Over | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under | 52c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Under | 51c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 55c | 52.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 50c | 46.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 49c | 42.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…f504backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…fd32backed Under | 53c | 33.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 49c | 33.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 62c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 63c | 25.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 55c | 24.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b3…d0eebacked Under | 66c | 20.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 180.5this page
- A'ja Wilson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas AcesIndiana Fever won
- Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5Under won
- Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 182.5Under won
- Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 183.5Under won
- Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 184.5Under won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-5.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.