Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6512178c2740787f0e8d2c97e1bcb5c9b4bae8cbb4f9f6e0e75797f8c466d033
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x297a…3dd8backed Yes | 78c | 510.08$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.08 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…fb3cbacked No | 80c | 361.52$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.86 | 190 | 60.5%115 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 48c | 331.22$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.18 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 58c | 271.66$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.71 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed Yes | 12c | 262.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.58 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 27c | 262$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.45 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 61c | 252.88$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.71 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d3…e694backed Yes | 74c | 244.11$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 46c | 232.86$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.91 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 63c | 215.84$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.91 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…db74backed Yes | 14c | 209.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.34 | 260 | 25%65 W · 195 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 45c | 206.38$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.43 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 52c | 177.7$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.17 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb3…2c94backed Yes | 16c | 156.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.98 | 149 | 19.5%29 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 78c | 147.41$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9248…6955backed Yes | 31c | 143.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf733…297dbacked Yes | 12c | 127.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.78 | 175 | 11.4%20 W · 155 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 31c | 116.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 43c | 110.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5824…7307backed Yes | 38c | 110$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 13c | 104.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed No | 51c | 102.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…04e1backed Yes | 51c | 101.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 371 | 44.2%164 W · 207 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c30…b668backed Yes | 50c | 100.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 159 | 40.3%64 W · 95 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7342…d5b4backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 64c | 95.87$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.34 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 56c | 95.62$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…485fbacked Yes | 29c | 91.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.21 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 46c | 87.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a338backed Yes | 42c | 82.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +29.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 14c | 82.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 53c | 75.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 51c | 75.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 59c | 75.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec34…b109backed Yes | 55c | 74.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 31c | 74.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 53c | 74.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 55c | 70.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…1733backed No | 52c | 70.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed Yes | 51c | 66.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 69c | 66.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Yes | 53c | 60.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 47c | 57.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…6ff8backed No | 47c | 53.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 193 | 45.6%88 W · 105 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 64c | 51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a5…abfdbacked No | 52c | 50.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…e09dbacked Yes | 55c | 43.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 253 | 42.3%107 W · 146 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23db…cf1cbacked Yes | 55c | 43.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 45c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…004ebacked Yes | 52c | 40.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 283 | 68.6%194 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d9…9275backed No | 49c | 39.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 385 | 60.3%232 W · 153 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 50c | 39.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…2162backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 47c | 37.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 581 | 38.9%226 W · 355 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 50c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 52c | 34.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 32c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 281 | 63.7%179 W · 102 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 1,010 | 58.1%587 W · 423 L | -34.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 37c | 31.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 350 | 63.1%221 W · 129 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 47c | 31.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 47c | 31.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64f8…eec6backed Yes | 49c | 30.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…e682backed No | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 258 | 68.2%176 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93cc…454ebacked Yes | 78c | 28.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 255 | 41.2%105 W · 150 L | +22.4wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 53c | 28.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eec…c8edbacked No | 39c | 27.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 197 | 69.5%137 W · 60 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 79c | 25.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 760 | 59.2%450 W · 310 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa595…cdf1backed Yes | 75c | 25.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 52c | 25.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 51c | 23.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 49c | 23.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1,043 | 62.9%656 W · 387 L | -11.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 55c | 22.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb8…7809backed No | 52c | 19.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…c58bbacked No | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.