TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Athens Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Ann Li

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ann Liof Maria Timofeeva, Ann Li
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$207,042
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$226,820

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,042 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Maria Timofeeva15c80,000$11,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,949.9937450%187 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Ann Li57c17,237$9,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,462.2434857.2%199 W · 149 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Ann Li57c13,158$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,657.8910453.8%56 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Maria Timofeeva43c11,046$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,749.8656651.8%293 W · 273 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Maria Timofeeva20c6,644$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.143,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Maria Timofeeva19c5,230$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.647742.9%33 W · 44 L+9.8wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+40%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2acd…d0b6backed Ann Li69c4,921$3,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.6414153.2%75 W · 66 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Maria Timofeeva43c4,920$2,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,127.774,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Maria Timofeeva42c4,876$2,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.2911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Ann Li57c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,72072452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Ann Li58c3,793$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.117556.6%99 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Maria Timofeeva18c2,634$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.148,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Ann Li57c2,304$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.763,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ann Li69c2,220$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.418,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Maria Timofeeva44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88037738.2%144 W · 233 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Maria Timofeeva21c1,648$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.2293740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26eb…5369backed Ann Li62c1,577$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.313754%74 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Ann Li74c1,292$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.443,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Maria Timofeeva44c1,200$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52826546.4%123 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Ann Li57c1,167$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.871,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ann Li77c975.22$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.358,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c3…f740backed Maria Timofeeva18c751.02$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.7217224.4%42 W · 130 L-16.4wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-53.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Maria Timofeeva42c707.76$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.262,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Maria Timofeeva8c620.13$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.354,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Maria Timofeeva43c600$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2587,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Maria Timofeeva7c557$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.555,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Ann Li80c475.48$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.311,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Ann Li56c385.63$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.522,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Maria Timofeeva32c308.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.322,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Maria Timofeeva42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1262,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Ann Li50c280$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Ann Li57c236.81$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.151,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5940…94c8backed Maria Timofeeva18c204.71$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.997930.4%24 W · 55 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd43…7d3dbacked Ann Li59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827737.7%29 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Ann Li80c187.31$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9182958.1%482 W · 347 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Ann Li57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4491754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Ann Li58c173$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6614357.3%82 W · 61 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Ann Li74c159.99$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.972,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Maria Timofeeva44c155.55$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.441,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30dc…768ebacked Ann Li57c154.79$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5611564.3%74 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Maria Timofeeva9c148.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.381,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58a8…a3c7backed Maria Timofeeva44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.86633.3%22 W · 44 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Ann Li69c108$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.761,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc19…31c4backed Ann Li57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4332546.2%150 W · 175 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Maria Timofeeva42c99.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9938947.3%184 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Maria Timofeeva15c93.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.126,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Ann Li76c77.61$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9287741.3%362 W · 515 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Ann Li67c70.52$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.274,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Maria Timofeeva43c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052035.2%183 W · 337 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7233…6520backed Ann Li58c69.16$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0510951.4%56 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked Maria Timofeeva43c67.83$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1720655.3%114 W · 92 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Maria Timofeeva29c67.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.671,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Maria Timofeeva43c66$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3843242.4%183 W · 249 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Maria Timofeeva43c61.83$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5990152.3%471 W · 430 L-2.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9755…ab85backed Maria Timofeeva40c60.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2735851.7%185 W · 173 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Maria Timofeeva40c60.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2453736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Maria Timofeeva19c59.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.186,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Ann Li56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5771165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Ann Li80c50.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1023581.7%192 W · 43 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick80cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Ann Li57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.583447.5%396 W · 438 L-2.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Maria Timofeeva42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Maria Timofeeva39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.551445.5%234 W · 280 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Ann Li57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.51,07752.4%564 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09cd…9502backed Maria Timofeeva43c49.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3612552%65 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Maria Timofeeva39c49.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.231,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Maria Timofeeva44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Maria Timofeeva42c45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.93,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Ann Li79c44.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.35662.5%35 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44b1…bc55backed Ann Li79c44.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Ann Li68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.122,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fc1…f1d3backed Ann Li60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.671250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1924…8e55backed Ann Li51c41.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.182650%13 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Maria Timofeeva47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.771,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Maria Timofeeva43c36.42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6621554%116 W · 99 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Maria Timofeeva43c35.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2692237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Maria Timofeeva42c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.763537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04c7…2d60backed Maria Timofeeva43c33.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2410456.7%59 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Maria Timofeeva42c32.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.867,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84e…b520backed Ann Li61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.793132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Maria Timofeeva52c29.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.182,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Maria Timofeeva43c28.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.382,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Ann Li56c28.13$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3830055%165 W · 135 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Ann Li70c26.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9878847.5%374 W · 414 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x205d…2ad2backed Ann Li57c25.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1322366.8%149 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Ann Li74c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.597852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Ann Li58c24.67$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.362,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaba4…3fa6backed Ann Li58c20.34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.547548%36 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87f4…0f35backed Ann Li60c17.95$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.185232.7%17 W · 35 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-33.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc62f…1781backed Ann Li58c17.71$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4426664.7%172 W · 94 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Ann Li71c17.25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.971,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d2…9ac2backed Ann Li74c13.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.614644.5%65 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.