Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68eb91bbfbd9734a87bed296366869c594a296a844cc2dad59e2a6afdcbb072a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof Yellow Submarine, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 14,198$9,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,205.44 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 6,180$4,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,084.66 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Yellow Submarine | 68c | 4,795$3,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.29 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Yellow Submarine | 33c | 3,855$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.55 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Yellow Submarine | 36c | 3,612$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.83 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 3,112$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.87 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 3,105$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.56 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 2,430$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.61 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Yellow Submarine | 55c | 2,160$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.16 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Yellow Submarine | 53c | 2,071$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.6 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 2,045$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.5 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Yellow Submarine | 38c | 1,875$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.07 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Yellow Submarine | 33c | 1,510$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.7 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Tundra Esports | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Yellow Submarine | 39c | 1,347$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.4 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine | 52c | 1,173$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.31 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Tundra Esports | 20c | 1,150$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.22 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 1,111$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.81 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yellow Submarine | 42c | 1,091$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.38 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Yellow Submarine | 32c | 1,077$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.67 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Tundra Esports | 9c | 1,004$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.02 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 1,004$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.99 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Yellow Submarine | 78c | 913.99$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.34 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 883.01$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.3 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Yellow Submarine | 40c | 783.65$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 689.03$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.99 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…3241backed Tundra Esports | 15c | 657.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Yellow Submarine | 78c | 637.41$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.41 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 591.14$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.6 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 544.85$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.85 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Tundra Esports | 23c | 534.79$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.63 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed Yellow Submarine | 40c | 482.01$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.01 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -9.9wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Yellow Submarine | 28c | 462$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.58 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 409.03$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 382.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 366.97$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.13 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tundra Esports | 25c | 365.56$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.16 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked Yellow Submarine | 35c | 355$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.45 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Yellow Submarine | 79c | 340.65$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.67 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Yellow Submarine | 58c | 331.05$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.79 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 311$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.73 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Yellow Submarine | 47c | 311$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.73 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Yellow Submarine | 34c | 290.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.7 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Yellow Submarine | 27c | 253.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.41 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Yellow Submarine | 47c | 244$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.42 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yellow Submarine | 47c | 240.61$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.38 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Yellow Submarine | 44c | 240$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.89 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 238.1$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.57 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Yellow Submarine | 47c | 218.45$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.96 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked Yellow Submarine | 35c | 203$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.95 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…39d9backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 200.92$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Yellow Submarine | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Yellow Submarine | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +15.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Yellow Submarine | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yellow Submarine | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Yellow Submarine | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Yellow Submarine | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tundra Esports | 34c | 193.74$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 183$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.31 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 179.89$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.52 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Yellow Submarine | 40c | 173$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.46 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Yellow Submarine | 40c | 173$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.46 | 176 | 36.9%65 W · 111 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 170$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yellow Submarine | 32c | 162.57$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.29 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 154$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.51 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Yellow Submarine | 42c | 152$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.74 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Yellow Submarine | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yellow Submarine | 44c | 144.68$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.41 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 141.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 140.01$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 134$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Yellow Submarine | 77c | 129.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…2d79backed Yellow Submarine | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 126.36$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Yellow Submarine | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 122$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.71 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +15.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 122$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.71 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 122$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.71 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 122$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.71 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 122$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.71 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Yellow Submarine | 40c | 116$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Yellow Submarine | 40c | 116$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Tundra Esports | 16c | 114.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 110$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Yellow Submarine | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…2071backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…ff7dbacked Yellow Submarine | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Yellow Submarine | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 99.55$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 308 | 34.1%105 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Tundra Esports | 37c | 93.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 86.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yellow Submarine | 35c | 85.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Yellow Submarine | 32c | 85.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Yellow Submarine | 42c | 84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…86cabacked Yellow Submarine | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Tundra Esports | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…71d4backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf883…b8b4backed Yellow Submarine | 66c | 76.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 187 | 64.7%121 W · 66 L | +17.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - 1win Essence PlayoffsYellow Submarine won
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerYellow Submarine won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.