TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

AEK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,116
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,163

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,116 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x821d…cf16backed Over71c1,344$953 inWon+$390.314040%16 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under28c1,302$367 inLost-$367.0566446.2%307 W · 357 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under29c1,028$298 inLost-$297.752646.8%246 W · 280 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd47e…4e60backed Over73c684.93$500 inWon+$184.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under29c600$174 inLost-$17445452%236 W · 218 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over73c411.42$300 inWon+$111.425166.7%34 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under27c381.68$103 inLost-$103.0574935.4%265 W · 484 L-30.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5630…6ca8backed Over72c277.35$200 inWon+$77.351172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under28c241.61$68 inLost-$67.6549840.4%201 W · 297 L-1.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Over72c236.11$170 inWon+$66.112250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Under30c100$30 inLost-$301833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Over71c96$68 inWon+$27.843040%12 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under28c81.66$23 inLost-$22.8667649.4%334 W · 342 L-15.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under28c78.72$22 inLost-$22.043844.7%17 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under29c72.15$21 inLost-$20.9296837.4%362 W · 606 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Over71c70.42$50 inWon+$20.424165.9%27 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ec…3cd6backed Over72c69.44$50 inWon+$19.44366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over72c69.21$50 inWon+$19.2112668.3%86 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…5ae1backed Under30c50$15 inLost-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Over72c48.61$35 inWon+$13.611030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5180…9cf1backed Over71c46.7$33 inWon+$13.54366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over71c43$31 inWon+$12.474454.5%24 W · 20 L+8.1wins+0.19per pick36cpaid+49.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over72c39.68$29 inWon+$11.1191032.6%297 W · 613 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31df…a49ebacked Over72c20.93$15 inWon+$5.931250%6 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.