Champions League · resolved market
AEK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13ab6fea5bd0f93e2fd985d6d112c6da6b25996d739653a033482e1489a17077
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 33c | 2,440$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.99 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 36c | 2,035$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.67 | 968 | 37.4%362 W · 606 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 58c | 1,529$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 72c | 1,348$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.74 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 58c | 1,291$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.22 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 59c | 806.8$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.79 | 309 | 49.8%154 W · 155 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 58c | 701.37$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.95 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 34cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 42c | 588.14$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.02 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +8.1wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 42c | 571.77$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.14 | 526 | 46.8%246 W · 280 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 45c | 449.44$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.25 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 42c | 382.23$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.54 | 369 | 42.5%157 W · 212 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked No | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 62c | 287.33$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.66 | 269 | 31.6%85 W · 184 L | -22.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 53c | 261.09$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.71 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 58c | 247.87$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.95 | 664 | 46.2%307 W · 357 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 59c | 224.74$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 42c | 197.79$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.14 | 676 | 49.4%334 W · 342 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed No | 60c | 164.69$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.18 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 41c | 140$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 61c | 129.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 1,071 | 34.8%373 W · 698 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 60c | 108$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked No | 57c | 105$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 42c | 104$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 435 | 37.9%165 W · 270 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…7f40backed No | 58c | 84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 59c | 60.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fa…9c2cbacked No | 60c | 58.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 51c | 54.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Yes | 41c | 51.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 54c | 45.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 48c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 52c | 40.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…3d5dbacked No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked No | 70c | 35.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 394 | 42.9%169 W · 225 L | -23.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Yes | 43c | 29.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Yes | 42c | 28.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked No | 58c | 21.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 60c | 21.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 910 | 32.6%297 W · 613 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 70c | 19.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AEK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AEK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- AEK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: AEK O/U 1.5Over won
- AEK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- AEK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 0.5Over won
- AEK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 1.5Over won
- AEK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 2.5Over won
- AEK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 3.5Over won
- AEK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 4.5Under won
- AEK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 5.5Under won
- AEK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: PFK Levski Sofia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- AEK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: PFK Levski Sofia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- AEK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: PFK Levski Sofia O/U 0.5Under won
- AEK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: PFK Levski Sofia O/U 1.5Under won
- AEK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: PFK Levski Sofia O/U 2.5Under won
- AEK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: Team to AdvanceAEK won
- Spread: AEK (-1.5)AEK won
- Spread: AEK (-2.5)AEK won
- Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)AEK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.