Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a13219cd8bf462a096c93223d9bdfe09cb70491693c73996465c6db746585bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc5f5…5d54backed Yes | 4c | 4,616$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,447.83 | 283 | 24.7%70 W · 213 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…6483backed No | 2c | 2,115$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 5c | 1,911$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.25 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 8c | 1,525$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.46 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 76c | 1,203$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.59 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 4c | 1,162$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 9c | 927.28$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.89 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 913.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.94 | 188 | 4.8%9 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…53b0backed Yes | 75c | 909$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.14 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 8c | 890.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.18 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 29c | 757.07$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.04 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…d951backed Yes | 71c | 635.65$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.65 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 58c | 570.32$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.01 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 64c | 547.45$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.11 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 62c | 417.37$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.42 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 35c | 384.35$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.71 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 53c | 367$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.73 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 11c | 360.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed No | 29c | 356.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 41c | 355.94$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.34 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 11c | 320.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.72 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 7c | 300.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 9c | 290.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.76 | 640 | 21.7%139 W · 501 L | -23.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 283.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.69 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 77c | 276.85$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.42 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3f…fde2backed Yes | 69c | 240.72$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 56c | 211$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.86 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…e643backed Yes | 9c | 211$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,033.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 64c | 204.3$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.83 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…7004backed Yes | 69c | 200.01$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.34 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…c8ffbacked Yes | 72c | 199.97$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 324 | 40.1%130 W · 194 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed Yes | 59c | 191.72$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.19 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 14c | 167.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 27c | 163.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 45c | 150$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…b6ddbacked Yes | 74c | 146.12$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4441…680abacked Yes | 50c | 146.06$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 8c | 140$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.08 | 726 | 24.8%180 W · 546 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed Yes | 70c | 129.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd3…af33backed Yes | 70c | 128.17$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x335c…733fbacked Yes | 65c | 120.82$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 45c | 100.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.72 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x302b…7a54backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517d…f41fbacked Yes | 55c | 98.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked Yes | 66c | 90.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…ac54backed Yes | 72c | 90.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 59c | 88.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 57c | 85.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee54…a5eabacked Yes | 74c | 83.62$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9009…1621backed Yes | 72c | 82.55$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 196 | 63.3%124 W · 72 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…8a8bbacked Yes | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed3…878abacked No | 53c | 79.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Yes | 78c | 77.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 97 | 69.1%67 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…a115backed Yes | 64c | 74.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 54c | 70.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…d572backed Yes | 77c | 67.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 374 | 65.2%244 W · 130 L | +23.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 54c | 66.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 43c | 60.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4e…7dbbbacked Yes | 47c | 60.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 386 | 55.7%215 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 78c | 53.39$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 50c | 40.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…4ccabacked No | 49c | 40.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef1…21b8backed Yes | 61c | 40.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 435 | 40.5%176 W · 259 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 41c | 40.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 58c | 39.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d2…f6e2backed Yes | 68c | 37.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…de7dbacked Yes | 73c | 36.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…d934backed Yes | 66c | 35.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 644 | 60.6%390 W · 254 L | +92.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…6510backed Yes | 45c | 33.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…4eb6backed Yes | 48c | 32.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Yes | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2753…e28abacked Yes | 70c | 30.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 420 | 61.2%257 W · 163 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d74…5393backed No | 53c | 30.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 40c | 28.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…0329backed Yes | 66c | 28.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 64cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf51f…24e8backed Yes | 49c | 28.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa144…963bbacked Yes | 69c | 27.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 72c | 22.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 48c | 21.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2292…65a2backed Yes | 58c | 20.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 62c | 20.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Yes | 65c | 18.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 472 | 39.8%188 W · 284 L | +31.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.