Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa97733ab6c6f15a531112450dfeab663ee94335981f4c9941cc675d8157bd95c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee2d…6968backed Yes | 0c | 9,333$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcd…28a1backed Yes | 38c | 2,204$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d56…eb97backed Yes | 1c | 1,356$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed No | 55c | 497.84$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.03 | 462 | 32.9%152 W · 310 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 65c | 495.17$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.12 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 56c | 484.04$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.22 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 21c | 387.27$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.33 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 48c | 347.15$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.12 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 39c | 345.27$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.38 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed No | 54c | 341.55$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.11 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…d951backed No | 74c | 296.75$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.75 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…c304backed No | 72c | 294.46$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.63 | 160 | 38.8%62 W · 98 L | +18.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 59c | 278$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.02 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 61c | 268$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.52 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 62c | 264.96$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.83 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 69c | 241.43$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.12 | 640 | 21.7%139 W · 501 L | -23.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 71c | 233.58$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 60c | 225.79$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.38 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7e…3660backed Yes | 24c | 213$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 56c | 200.07$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.04 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bd…2c9dbacked No | 51c | 198$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 213 | 40.8%87 W · 126 L | +23.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +34%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 51c | 182.39$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.94 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 62c | 177.83$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 55c | 171.4$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.24 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.95 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 47c | 160.21$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.67 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 45c | 160$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.86 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x517d…f41fbacked Yes | 51c | 160$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 78c | 152.16$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 43c | 142.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 29c | 125.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed No | 55c | 125.09$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…f753backed Yes | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | +18.8wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 30c | 124.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd3…af33backed No | 55c | 124.51$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.03 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…7004backed No | 69c | 115.73$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 57c | 112.73$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 44c | 111.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Yes | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 44c | 109$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df9…4534backed No | 46c | 108.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 52c | 106$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 23c | 101.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…7f72backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 191 | 37.2%71 W · 120 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 70c | 99.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 43c | 93.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x335c…733fbacked No | 52c | 93.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…8d41backed No | 49c | 91.72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 423 | 66.4%281 W · 142 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 64c | 89.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…3adcbacked Yes | 16c | 81.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…d5d9backed Yes | 23c | 80.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 48c | 78.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 58c | 73.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 47c | 73.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed No | 51c | 72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 23c | 70.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed No | 78c | 70.51$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 456 | 75.2%343 W · 113 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 20c | 70.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 55c | 67.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3a…258ebacked Yes | 50c | 67.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 50c | 66.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed No | 52c | 64.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 182 | 40.1%73 W · 109 L | -16.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 51c | 61.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf261…3335backed Yes | 51c | 60.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 60c | 58.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 25c | 55.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e2…06f4backed No | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 38c | 54.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d02…8c5dbacked No | 79c | 52.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 51c | 52.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 37c | 52.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 35c | 51.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 69c | 50.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…8607backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…ac54backed No | 54c | 49.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…bb31backed No | 75c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 162 | 72.2%117 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bc…1485backed Yes | 41c | 45.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…d572backed Yes | 23c | 45.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 374 | 65.2%244 W · 130 L | +23.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 40c | 45.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8177…e5d4backed No | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed Yes | 57c | 44.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 44c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 54c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 30c | 43.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 49c | 43.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 42c | 43.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 69c | 42.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 769 | 36.3%279 W · 490 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fe…74bcbacked No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 186 | 71%132 W · 54 L | +19.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.