Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5544d9267afa1bf26bb055fd6e1a7d83fd88c56d034b89a236ec315e0fededec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Yes | 1c | 13,590$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.51 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Yes | 0c | 10,433$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 9,581$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 27c | 966.05$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.26 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 13c | 527.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.74 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 13c | 516.93$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 22c | 502.55$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.51 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…5d54backed Yes | 7c | 493.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 283 | 24.7%70 W · 213 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 470.24$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.46 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 13c | 400.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 75c | 392.02$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.59 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 80c | 329$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.93 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…4eedbacked No | 74c | 320.58$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.89 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked No | 63c | 316.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.15 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 13c | 293.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 30c | 268.03$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed No | 70c | 258.93$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.44 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 13c | 233.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 8c | 218.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked No | 72c | 205.2$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 28c | 203.62$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 640 | 21.7%139 W · 501 L | -23.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 35c | 197.94$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 65c | 168.91$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 36c | 165.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ac…a769backed Yes | 28c | 164.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 66c | 151.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 71c | 150$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 68c | 149.81$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bd…2c9dbacked No | 80c | 146.86$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 213 | 40.8%87 W · 126 L | +23.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +34%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf956…9bf0backed No | 67c | 143.43$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes | 31c | 138.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 17c | 136.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb86…fb51backed Yes | 9c | 132$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 38c | 131.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes | 30c | 125$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 720 | 42.2%304 W · 416 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Yes | 12c | 124$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked Yes | 33c | 120.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 327 | 38.2%125 W · 202 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 76c | 119.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb1…4028backed Yes | 28c | 119.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…8af6backed No | 66c | 119.49$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 30c | 119.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…2562backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 33c | 115.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 76c | 114.77$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 20c | 107.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 80c | 103.96$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…7f72backed Yes | 24c | 103.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 191 | 37.2%71 W · 120 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 21c | 100.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c99…3cc4backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…af33backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 253 | 32%81 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa754…ec4bbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…d0c5backed Yes | 33c | 98.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…7004backed No | 71c | 95.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 24c | 92.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…f753backed Yes | 41c | 91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | +18.8wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 27c | 90.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775c…28a9backed No | 70c | 88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 72c | 83.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7e…3660backed Yes | 46c | 81.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4441…680abacked Yes | 34c | 81.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb141…aa3bbacked Yes | 34c | 75.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 124 | 53.2%66 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 32c | 74.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 69c | 72.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…ef0dbacked No | 73c | 68.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 71c | 66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 48c | 63.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0a…2f0cbacked Yes | 34c | 58.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335c…733fbacked No | 79c | 57.74$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 71c | 56.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 77c | 52.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 69c | 50.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 24c | 48.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 50c | 46.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 79c | 45.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…53c7backed Yes | 35c | 43.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fe…74bcbacked No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 186 | 71%132 W · 54 L | +19.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 74c | 38.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Yes | 36c | 37.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Yes | 30c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 76c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 36c | 35.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee54…a5eabacked Yes | 35c | 34.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…98eabacked Yes | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…2506backed Yes | 40c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -67%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…372abacked No | 80c | 31.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb3…2c94backed Yes | 35c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 149 | 19.5%29 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…266abacked Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…6510backed Yes | 38c | 26.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d2…f6e2backed No | 79c | 25.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dc…4f72backed No | 70c | 22.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 241 | 64.7%156 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x025e…bb39backed No | 75c | 21.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4e…7dbbbacked No | 48c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 386 | 55.7%215 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff5…14babacked No | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 153 | 75.2%115 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.