Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb79a2cff2a070c6b573c402db4cd50d2c1a703a4fee440a0abbfcfb6290ec52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,421$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…1388backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…8af6backed No | 77c | 4,397$3,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.52 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…5d54backed Yes | 1c | 1,889$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 283 | 24.7%70 W · 213 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 17c | 1,876$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.88 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…ee54backed Yes | 1c | 1,788$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 11c | 624.84$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.76 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 26c | 576.66$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.84 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 15c | 564.71$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 25c | 551.16$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 17c | 511.56$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.91 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 26c | 478.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.16 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 78c | 416.48$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.59 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 79c | 394.41$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.05 | 640 | 21.7%139 W · 501 L | -23.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 69c | 392.99$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ad…69f5backed Yes | 26c | 384.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 267 | 44.2%118 W · 149 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 73c | 367.51$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.72 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 11c | 360$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 66c | 347.48$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.28 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked No | 76c | 332.91$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.22 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…eeafbacked Yes | 8c | 287.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 167 | 33.5%56 W · 111 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 19c | 286.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 15c | 245.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 14c | 239.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Yes | 5c | 232.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7e…3660backed Yes | 14c | 228$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 76c | 228$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…c6d7backed No | 62c | 204.41$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.41 | 371 | 50.4%187 W · 184 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 9c | 191.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 28c | 183$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 26c | 180$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 25c | 166.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 18c | 162.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 158.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 34c | 154.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 75c | 153.38$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…262dbacked No | 60c | 144.91$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.32 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | +21.0wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 22c | 140.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…b087backed Yes | 15c | 138.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 162 | 20.4%33 W · 129 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 74c | 137.93$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 12c | 131.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…005bbacked Yes | 9c | 131.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 167 | 9.6%16 W · 151 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 23c | 131.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 26c | 130.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…8239backed Yes | 9c | 115.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 41c | 113.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed Yes | 35c | 112.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 16c | 106.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0736…0bd2backed No | 74c | 101$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5844…5bd4backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…0bb7backed Yes | 14c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 79 | 21.5%17 W · 62 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x744f…caffbacked Yes | 14c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa754…ec4bbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…f2cdbacked Yes | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 76c | 98.02$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 24c | 97.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…61c4backed Yes | 35c | 94.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | +19.0wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 19c | 86.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…8e5cbacked Yes | 22c | 84.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 303 | 33%100 W · 203 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 22c | 84.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 16c | 78.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 75c | 76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…2506backed Yes | 18c | 76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -67%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc15…cca6backed Yes | 19c | 67.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 264 | 41.3%109 W · 155 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 27c | 64.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 24c | 64.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Yes | 38c | 59.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 182 | 40.1%73 W · 109 L | -16.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 39c | 56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 28c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 37c | 54.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…ea2fbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…1cf6backed Yes | 48c | 48.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…76f5backed No | 70c | 47.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed Yes | 26c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5597…0c9fbacked Yes | 31c | 40.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 26c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5f61…840abacked No | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 375 | 70.7%265 W · 110 L | +62.7wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbb04…48cfbacked Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 100 | 23%23 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 28c | 37.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…c5cebacked No | 55c | 37.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb3…2c94backed No | 65c | 35.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 149 | 19.5%29 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked No | 78c | 35.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 720 | 42.2%304 W · 416 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 78c | 34.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Yes | 37c | 34.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 63c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 40c | 32.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85aa…691bbacked No | 69c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 64c | 30.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2349…1646backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 482 | 61.8%298 W · 184 L | +43.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7b…efddbacked No | 72c | 27.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…266abacked No | 78c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed No | 55c | 22.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 65c | 21.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.