Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a14dc588ba8ad79d6657fb57b7d7ceb2b085f01670ceff344d61f664335a9b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spirit Academyof Ilbirs eSports, Spirit Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Spirit Academy | 43c | 8,000$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,559.98 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ilbirs eSports | 51c | 4,743$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412.49 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Spirit Academy | 45c | 4,041$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.43 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Spirit Academy | 53c | 3,964$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.46 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Ilbirs eSports | 56c | 3,422$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.85 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Spirit Academy | 31c | 2,364$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.07 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Spirit Academy | 46c | 1,921$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.09 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Spirit Academy | 50c | 1,816$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.73 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Ilbirs eSports | 65c | 1,799$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.3 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Ilbirs eSports | 75c | 1,445$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.97 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 1,358$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.91 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Spirit Academy | 43c | 1,354$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.28 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Ilbirs eSports | 72c | 1,245$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.05 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Ilbirs eSports | 42c | 1,109$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.53 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Ilbirs eSports | 52c | 1,049$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.14 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ilbirs eSports | 56c | 897.26$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.03 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Ilbirs eSports | 53c | 829.99$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…1a89backed Ilbirs eSports | 60c | 822.43$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.37 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Spirit Academy | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Ilbirs eSports | 53c | 750$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 43c | 746.48$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.62 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Ilbirs eSports | 68c | 735.13$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.47 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Ilbirs eSports | 58c | 674.17$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.52 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Spirit Academy | 63c | 637.14$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.14 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Spirit Academy | 37c | 590.43$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.73 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ilbirs eSports | 51c | 576.27$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.31 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Spirit Academy | 52c | 572.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.82 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed Ilbirs eSports | 52c | 571.84$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 140 | 30.7%43 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 39c | 570.35$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.99 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked Spirit Academy | 23c | 555$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Ilbirs eSports | 59c | 544.61$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.6 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 68c | 534$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.72 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Spirit Academy | 23c | 500.64$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.48 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 57c | 487.15$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.16 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed Ilbirs eSports | 58c | 418.91$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.71 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Ilbirs eSports | 50c | 418$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.91 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Spirit Academy | 22c | 399.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Ilbirs eSports | 66c | 398.75$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.85 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Ilbirs eSports | 57c | 398.53$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.16 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 40c | 396.52$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.82 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 395.02$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.61 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…ee29backed Ilbirs eSports | 46c | 372.22$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.62 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…4ca3backed Ilbirs eSports | 57c | 370.19$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.01 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Ilbirs eSports | 57c | 361.79$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.22 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Spirit Academy | 42c | 319.2$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.14 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Ilbirs eSports | 5c | 315.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Ilbirs eSports | 47c | 311.01$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.7 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…1691backed Spirit Academy | 29c | 306.25$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.21 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Ilbirs eSports | 47c | 298.84$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.2 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Ilbirs eSports | 75c | 298.72$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.72 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 295$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Ilbirs eSports | 47c | 280.36$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 45c | 275.71$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.63 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Ilbirs eSports | 59c | 265.12$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.67 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 50c | 255.79$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.78 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe3…eaafbacked Spirit Academy | 63c | 253.97$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.97 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Spirit Academy | 42c | 242.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.06 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 217 | 42.9%93 W · 124 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Ilbirs eSports | 54c | 228.39$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.36 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Ilbirs eSports | 52c | 222.16$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.96 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Ilbirs eSports | 66c | 215.25$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.19 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Ilbirs eSports | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.31 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b39…1f68backed Ilbirs eSports | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86bf…a172backed Spirit Academy | 54c | 198.16$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.98 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Ilbirs eSports | 38c | 194$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Ilbirs eSports | 61c | 189.51$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.95 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Ilbirs eSports | 28c | 182.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Spirit Academy | 42c | 177.75$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.59 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Ilbirs eSports | 61c | 177.55$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.63 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Spirit Academy | 36c | 175$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae0…8661backed Spirit Academy | 57c | 174.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Ilbirs eSports | 79c | 170.46$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 139 | 75.5%105 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Spirit Academy | 54c | 165.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Ilbirs eSports | 37c | 152.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Spirit Academy | 59c | 151.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.86 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ilbirs eSports | 58c | 147.58$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.27 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Spirit Academy | 36c | 131.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a12…a9a7backed Ilbirs eSports | 54c | 124.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.44 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ilbirs eSports | 43c | 121.14$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed Ilbirs eSports | 57c | 117.91$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Ilbirs eSports | 79c | 114.89$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.76 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…3540backed Ilbirs eSports | 34c | 107.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Spirit Academy | 20c | 101.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Spirit Academy | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 94.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Spirit Academy | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Spirit Academy | 34c | 88.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 56c | 79.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Spirit Academy | 25c | 79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 36c | 76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Spirit Academy | 34c | 75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Ilbirs eSports | 50c | 65.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…67bbbacked Ilbirs eSports | 55c | 61.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Spirit Academy | 54c | 58.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…9433backed Ilbirs eSports | 37c | 53.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Spirit Academy | 28c | 53.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4e…abebbacked Ilbirs eSports | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed Spirit Academy | 58c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ee…0439backed Ilbirs eSports | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 WinnerSpirit Academy won
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 WinnerIlbirs eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.