Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a678d371efb43e20af50cec41f550af32025f4c6882da7556f012e147ff7acd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 31c | 491.71$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…dae0backed Yes | 35c | 430.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.35 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 39c | 388.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.49 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 30c | 380.46$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e7…c275backed Yes | 40c | 344.89$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.32 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f4…f04cbacked Yes | 36c | 344.88$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.32 | 174 | 40.8%71 W · 103 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…9afebacked Yes | 40c | 282.4$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.3 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 39c | 269.12$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 307 | 22.1%68 W · 239 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 52c | 240.68$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.18 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 41c | 209$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.54 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 30c | 184.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 65c | 169.23$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.09 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Yes | 42c | 169$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.81 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 64c | 160.72$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.97 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 55c | 159.3$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.3 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 57c | 154$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.12 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed No | 67c | 144.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 388 | 60.1%233 W · 155 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed No | 69c | 137$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.51 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 12c | 126.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1f…eb96backed No | 66c | 124.9$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 61c | 121$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.81 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 32c | 120$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 42c | 119.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…d9b3backed Yes | 43c | 116$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 119 | 27.7%33 W · 86 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 43c | 97.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 68c | 93.85$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.81 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d9…ec8abacked Yes | 40c | 88.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 156 | 30.8%48 W · 108 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 13c | 87.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 34c | 82.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 58c | 80.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 430 | 50.2%216 W · 214 L | +21.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 22c | 78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…7bcbbacked Yes | 34c | 77.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 74c | 76.89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 22c | 75.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 32c | 75.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x463f…f78ebacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 57c | 70.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 68c | 70$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd192…d266backed Yes | 29c | 69.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2753…e28abacked Yes | 46c | 68.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 420 | 61.2%257 W · 163 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed No | 63c | 68.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 341 | 51.3%175 W · 166 L | -26.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 65c | 65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 67c | 62.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 34c | 60.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…4af0backed Yes | 39c | 57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 45c | 56.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 61c | 55.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 68c | 53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9009…1621backed No | 35c | 52.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 196 | 63.3%124 W · 72 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…aa69backed Yes | 40c | 50.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 308 | 49%151 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…a2cebacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 61c | 47.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…8d41backed No | 60c | 46.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 423 | 66.4%281 W · 142 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 54c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…ea84backed Yes | 60c | 44.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…3b38backed No | 68c | 44.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 471 | 75.6%356 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 69c | 43.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x515f…a606backed No | 65c | 41.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 41c | 38.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…d572backed No | 33c | 35.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 374 | 65.2%244 W · 130 L | +23.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 67c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441a…e9c7backed Yes | 33c | 33.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 395 | 43.5%172 W · 223 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 37c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed No | 68c | 28.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 182 | 40.1%73 W · 109 L | -16.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa29c…572abacked Yes | 37c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…085cbacked Yes | 78c | 25.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 616 | 76.3%470 W · 146 L | +92.4wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked No | 66c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 63c | 23.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 43c | 23.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97a5…4dbfbacked No | 69c | 21.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…ca22backed No | 66c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…a889backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 927 | 61.7%572 W · 355 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 66c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 65c | 19.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 66c | 19.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 61c | 18.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 1,010 | 58.1%587 W · 423 L | -34.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 65c | 18.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.