TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Celtics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Nets, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$146,430
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,127

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,430 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xad18…0b4fbacked Nets33c13,856$4,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,540.1453134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Celtics65c10,144$6,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,538.930443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc36…1fa0backed Celtics78c7,065$5,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.35950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8b4…e0febacked Nets15c7,010$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.634045%18 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Nets22c6,752$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.0911459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Nets1c4,834$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503369.7%23 W · 10 L+6.6wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+47.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Nets13c4,200$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.9746131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets13c4,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.981,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Nets24c3,011$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.336247.2%171 W · 191 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Nets14c2,700$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36523548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Celtics72c2,606$1,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.2847656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc167…4056backed Nets28c2,450$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.258943.8%39 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Nets29c2,156$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.1311332.7%37 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Celtics73c2,078$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.2924554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fde…ed39backed Celtics53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.791947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59ef…0a27backed Nets14c1,847$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2622556%14 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d10…bfe6backed Nets43c1,667$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Celtics68c1,499$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.8465642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Nets28c1,482$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.8570147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc06…f32bbacked Nets1c1,426$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccb…0a10backed Nets23c1,389$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.086744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x698c…5f40backed Nets15c1,200$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1842326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad1…c838backed Nets4c1,100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Celtics80c1,095$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21933752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Celtics72c1,090$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.1523835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff4e…7036backed Celtics77c1,007$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.291353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0238…ba26backed Nets14c1,003$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.82227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Nets15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Nets20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Nets15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98f3…bf14backed Nets12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Nets47c994.83$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.114233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Nets14c928.57$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305616.1%9 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-56.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b74…a4f4backed Nets14c746.14$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.462528%7 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3f5…32aebacked Celtics77c736.52$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.344951%25 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd265…5c25backed Nets14c727.86$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed Celtics62c720$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.240726%106 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8767…a37fbacked Nets14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.27per pick45cpaid-56.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x7e95…7d82backed Celtics74c676.77$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.77728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2813…3177backed Nets17c662.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.122825%7 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef7b…542fbacked Celtics52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.921560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Nets13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658547.1%40 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d8b…2c90backed Nets14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78da…9d47backed Celtics74c495.73$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.526851.5%35 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Nets26c493.48$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4226547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Nets26c489.65$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.1618316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Nets19c469.18$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.181,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c6c…9047backed Celtics79c455.3$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.611330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-58.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8cd3…3c5abacked Nets22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001625%4 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-50.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd8c6…9211backed Celtics80c447.78$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8514847.3%70 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x026a…2f8abacked Nets16c446.88$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714126.8%11 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc98a…2a0cbacked Celtics60c445.91$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.332040%8 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Nets33c393.94$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13026934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa26e…c212backed Nets16c390$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.51827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22f9…ccb1backed Celtics66c378.79$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.792254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Nets32c355.85$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1761532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49dd…7044backed Nets47c355.08$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.37862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c7c…3228backed Nets29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7405…2797backed Celtics72c343.7$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.743351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nets30c330.36$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.581,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4af9…9bbdbacked Nets26c330$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.42119%4 W · 17 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Nets32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Nets16c304.88$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7827631.2%86 W · 190 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Celtics72c300$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Celtics72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.059045.6%41 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca94…336ebacked Celtics70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.713161.3%19 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead7…efedbacked Nets18c272.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4214542.8%62 W · 83 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5335…0b0fbacked Nets19c272.51$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.782425%6 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb228…2734backed Celtics55c250$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.92520%5 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-48.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Nets24c244.11$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7922430.8%69 W · 155 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x529f…1cfabacked Nets29c223.71$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.889052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Nets13c222$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8620245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd0a…63abbacked Nets15c218.2$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.674434.1%15 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8369…3c94backed Nets34c214.43$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736547.7%31 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44a2…5374backed Nets14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b26…8640backed Nets11c202.78$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.152737%10 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x87f7…91e3backed Celtics75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506230.6%19 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x432d…a2d4backed Nets40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.543447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0026…cd66backed Nets14c200$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2711428.1%32 W · 82 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea7…f625backed Nets24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488232.9%27 W · 55 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x66e7…24c2backed Nets14c199.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282619.2%5 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-52.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Celtics71c198.6$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5785347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c5…0544backed Celtics52c192.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.792540%10 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Celtics55c182.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1827041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x603a…fc8bbacked Nets15c167$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdec9…2af9backed Nets22c165.8$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.481729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd10…0d30backed Celtics73c165.21$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.211540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Celtics46c164.92$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6619137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd6…d874backed Celtics79c152.94$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.987650%38 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Nets15c152.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7672341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc16d…0af8backed Nets27c148.78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1740%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafd7…a65ebacked Celtics51c146.71$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.891060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6878…fed2backed Nets28c142.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4090%0 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Nets25c139$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.96839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1513…dfcabacked Nets15c123.77$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.41315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf237…46edbacked Nets14c121.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-21.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x488e…35ddbacked Nets14c114.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7cb…b857backed Nets37c111.09$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.595556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Nets12c109.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.141,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe20…5c98backed Nets14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.