MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Samsung Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d2901b3267a68c3239a37426f9d880bad4c8c3d6e56f1fec517b1094dc43938
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof Kiwoom Heroes, Samsung Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x400d…28afbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 53c | 3,652$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Samsung Lions | 53c | 843.87$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.58 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Samsung Lions | 47c | 797.27$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.6 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Samsung Lions | 63c | 705.1$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.59 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 631$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.7 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 615.36$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.36 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…200ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 585.37$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.4 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Samsung Lions | 53c | 546.67$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.38 | 755 | 44.2%334 W · 421 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Samsung Lions | 68c | 282.31$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Kiwoom Heroes | 71c | 280.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 45c | 268.52$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.91 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 233.23$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.02 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 223.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.46 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Samsung Lions | 51c | 214.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.66 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Kiwoom Heroes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked Samsung Lions | 59c | 200$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.95 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fd…842dbacked Samsung Lions | 77c | 162.17$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samsung Lions | 67c | 151$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Samsung Lions | 67c | 137.81$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 46c | 129.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…ebe7backed Samsung Lions | 63c | 126.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Samsung Lions | 38c | 122.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.45 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Samsung Lions | 31c | 111.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 99 | 39.4%39 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 107.56$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 792 | 47.5%376 W · 416 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Samsung Lions | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 95.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 90.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 600 | 39%234 W · 366 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Samsung Lions | 31c | 86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Samsung Lions | 31c | 86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Samsung Lions | 31c | 86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Samsung Lions | 31c | 86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Samsung Lions | 31c | 72.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 71.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 570 | 58.4%333 W · 237 L | +27.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Samsung Lions | 55c | 70.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Samsung Lions | 44c | 68.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 31c | 68.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Samsung Lions | 68c | 67.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7c…406cbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 67.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…9befbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 66.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Kiwoom Heroes | 47c | 66.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 800 | 52%416 W · 384 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Kiwoom Heroes | 76c | 65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 1,106 | 79.6%880 W · 226 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Samsung Lions | 57c | 63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Samsung Lions | 58c | 62.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Samsung Lions | 58c | 61.64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Samsung Lions | 55c | 56.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 54.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc987…123abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Samsung Lions | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Samsung Lions | 66c | 38.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 343 | 55.4%190 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 37.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 75c | 37.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 33.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -9.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xd122…5a81backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Samsung Lions | 67c | 31.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Samsung Lions | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 456 | 50.4%230 W · 226 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Samsung Lions | 63c | 27.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 181 | 49.2%89 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e81…b4cebacked Samsung Lions | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 72cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Samsung Lions | 67c | 24.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 1,828 | 54.1%989 W · 839 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Samsung Lions | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 955 | 55.2%527 W · 428 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Samsung Lions | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Samsung Lions | 67c | 18.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -12.1wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.