Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f81e62df863ab1eeda714d37cd6134d16e9acafe26a2233c6c3af38c8aea94c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfef4…f1a8backed Yes | 2c | 1,689$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 23c | 649.67$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.26 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 74c | 508.67$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.96 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 22c | 457.89$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.55 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 43c | 427.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.81 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 6c | 416$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 10c | 413.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed Yes | 52c | 370.36$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.51 | 388 | 60.1%233 W · 155 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…e0c1backed No | 69c | 363.87$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.18 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 68c | 350.69$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.49 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…d951backed No | 51c | 332.41$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.6 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 56c | 332.31$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.58 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 70c | 308$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.85 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…44bcbacked Yes | 36c | 302.49$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.35 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 78c | 286.33$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 16c | 273.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…7479backed Yes | 46c | 272$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.1 | 532 | 58.6%312 W · 220 L | +45.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 67c | 256.61$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.44 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 46c | 251.8$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.48 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 32c | 251.36$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.47 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53a1…b1b0backed Yes | 42c | 249.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 238.72$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.7 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 34c | 234.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…9a58backed Yes | 36c | 232.79$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…d803backed Yes | 31c | 231.85$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.07 | 401 | 32.9%132 W · 269 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…d7b8backed No | 80c | 224.95$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 15c | 212.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9af…7722backed Yes | 33c | 207.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.92 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 19c | 204.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 49c | 194.53$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.03 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…a42dbacked Yes | 37c | 185.24$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 203 | 27.1%55 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 42c | 183.03$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.95 | 242 | 62.4%151 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed No | 58c | 181.39$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.18 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 33c | 179.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked Yes | 68c | 177.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 71c | 177$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 59c | 175.96$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb04…48cfbacked Yes | 18c | 173.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 100 | 23%23 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 44c | 170.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.47 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed Yes | 47c | 165.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 298 | 35.2%105 W · 193 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed No | 64c | 145.57$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed6a…7924backed No | 67c | 144.48$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked Yes | 20c | 143.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 485 | 23.7%115 W · 370 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cd…eaecbacked Yes | 70c | 142.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.53 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0515…f02bbacked Yes | 10c | 141.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 33c | 136.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 57c | 135.94$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…4a6dbacked Yes | 38c | 133.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…b8febacked Yes | 16c | 132.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 286 | 66.8%191 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 130.45$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 37c | 129.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a96…286bbacked Yes | 29c | 128.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +122.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 64c | 126.71$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 26c | 122.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x632e…6a56backed Yes | 29c | 121.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 32c | 120.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc6…dde3backed Yes | 24c | 114$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 59c | 111.42$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 17c | 111.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 33c | 105.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948f…0b98backed Yes | 22c | 104.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 119 | 83.2%99 W · 20 L | +21.5wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3f…fde2backed No | 72c | 102.72$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 61c | 101.6$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 27c | 101.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes | 30c | 101.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 721 | 25.5%184 W · 537 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1b…e8d0backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f8…652dbacked Yes | 32c | 99.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…e902backed No | 49c | 98.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…5961backed Yes | 42c | 98.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4079…7126backed No | 72c | 97.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…f8abbacked Yes | 46c | 94.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 240 | 66.3%159 W · 81 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 19c | 88.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 39c | 85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd372…04bebacked Yes | 38c | 85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55bc…52d8backed No | 61c | 84.35$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked No | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 54c | 78.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked Yes | 48c | 78.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 306 | 65%199 W · 107 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 48c | 77.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 32c | 77.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 17c | 75.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 31c | 73.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…5704backed Yes | 37c | 72.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 190 | 22.1%42 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb9…ce8fbacked No | 34c | 69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed Yes | 48c | 68.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5a…b6c6backed Yes | 38c | 68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed Yes | 30c | 67.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Yes | 42c | 67.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 62c | 65.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…f811backed Yes | 30c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 60c | 64.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 29c | 63.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…e435backed Yes | 40c | 62.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 33c | 62.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.