Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14b9343c9e280cd822ad4dd804762b55058472cea5aa84d2714bf187b63f3cad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 3c | 1,450$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.25 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…53b0backed Yes | 73c | 1,299$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.2 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 3c | 499.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.49 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 24c | 425.18$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.83 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…d8b2backed Yes | 7c | 411.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.86 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 62c | 369.18$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.63 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 77c | 368.03$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.84 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 76c | 342.67$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.72 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 17c | 312.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.8 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 19c | 293.04$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.28 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed No | 4c | 283.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 80c | 278$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.04 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 77c | 253.85$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 28c | 237.02$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.12 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 28c | 210.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.33 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 6c | 209.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.32 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 14c | 191.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.38 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 25c | 189.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bb…ec4fbacked Yes | 29c | 186.59$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.41 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked No | 48c | 179$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.15 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed No | 57c | 177.26$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 388 | 60.1%233 W · 155 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed Yes | 16c | 171.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.11 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…7479backed Yes | 25c | 165.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.52 | 532 | 58.6%312 W · 220 L | +45.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…9a58backed Yes | 30c | 160$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…5704backed Yes | 25c | 156.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.31 | 190 | 22.1%42 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 48c | 154.86$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.82 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 26c | 151.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.86 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 33c | 148.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…fb4dbacked Yes | 23c | 130.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.42 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 9c | 118.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.31 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 16c | 117$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…14a9backed Yes | 60c | 110.78$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 10c | 109.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.29 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 106.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.13 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 45c | 103.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 242 | 62.4%151 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed Yes | 75c | 102$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd00f…1ba0backed Yes | 15c | 98.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948f…0b98backed Yes | 48c | 92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 119 | 83.2%99 W · 20 L | +21.5wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 36c | 91.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 29c | 86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd372…04bebacked Yes | 17c | 85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 29c | 75.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…5961backed Yes | 19c | 73.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.47 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 51c | 72.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa760…2c51backed No | 72c | 72.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 212 | 64.6%137 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 16c | 72.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Yes | 30c | 67.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 769 | 36.3%279 W · 490 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb9…ce8fbacked No | 28c | 67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778a…7a2abacked Yes | 15c | 66.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 27c | 64.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 54c | 63.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 71c | 60.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 71c | 60.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1790…6fd2backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 38c | 59.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 70c | 58.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 53c | 57.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d98…261ebacked Yes | 39c | 55.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked Yes | 29c | 54.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 28c | 53.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 28c | 53.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 42c | 52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 56c | 51.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0855…ae26backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 30c | 49.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d3…a178backed No | 24c | 48.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 33c | 46.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9159…f1a8backed Yes | 62c | 46.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…88a2backed No | 71c | 45.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 58 | 84.5%49 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 76cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 64c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 74c | 45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 71c | 42.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 72c | 42.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked Yes | 32c | 42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 306 | 65%199 W · 107 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…c264backed No | 77c | 41.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd998…918bbacked Yes | 63c | 39.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 30c | 39.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…c336backed Yes | 61c | 38.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 30c | 38.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 71c | 36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f8…8e32backed Yes | 29c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 35c | 35.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6283…3e7abacked Yes | 29c | 35.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a6…6216backed No | 72c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 70c | 33.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f61…840abacked Yes | 49c | 32.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 375 | 70.7%265 W · 110 L | +62.7wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 59c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked No | 73c | 31.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d9…cf16backed Yes | 64c | 31.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83aa…35bbbacked No | 71c | 31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…2313backed No | 70c | 30.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 262 | 56.5%148 W · 114 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked No | 52c | 29.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede4…1c40backed No | 71c | 29.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 153 | 69.9%107 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…d934backed Yes | 71c | 28.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 644 | 60.6%390 W · 254 L | +92.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked Yes | 72c | 27.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dc…4f72backed No | 73c | 27.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 241 | 64.7%156 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ca…59eebacked No | 69c | 27.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -11.6wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 79c | 27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.