Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dedeca5d400a25e0eedd40f4e2c43e6501bd5294881b276dd9222c4bc890296
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61b9…07dfbacked Yes | 1c | 6,081$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked Yes | 75c | 1,102$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.4 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…d8b2backed Yes | 25c | 1,040$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.09 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…30b0backed Yes | 1c | 1,031$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…c304backed Yes | 24c | 814.48$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.41 | 160 | 38.8%62 W · 98 L | +18.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 53c | 765.91$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.14 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4131…d591backed Yes | 54c | 623.23$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.51 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…53b0backed Yes | 16c | 591.02$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.81 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 21c | 556.81$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.19 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 38c | 513.6$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.56 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 75c | 474.74$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.85 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 50c | 460.28$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.82 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccf…cd14backed Yes | 28c | 426.55$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.48 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 39c | 391.05$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.44 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked Yes | 13c | 376$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 75c | 368.94$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.16 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 58c | 356.13$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.64 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 59c | 351.78$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.01 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 59c | 316.6$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.86 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked No | 72c | 313.13$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.13 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Yes | 61c | 312$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.97 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 8c | 304.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed Yes | 64c | 303.02$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.23 | 388 | 60.1%233 W · 155 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 57c | 288.75$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.52 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…cf4bbacked Yes | 77c | 285.37$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.92 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 77c | 268.74$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.42 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x331d…8846backed No | 49c | 256.95$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.13 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | +38.6wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 36c | 242.84$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.56 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 17c | 238.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 22c | 231.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…9a58backed Yes | 21c | 231.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…c328backed No | 79c | 223.54$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 69c | 211.19$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.34 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 72c | 204.63$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed Yes | 28c | 203$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 298 | 35.2%105 W · 193 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed Yes | 73c | 199.2$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.49 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…8ecebacked Yes | 6c | 175.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…7479backed Yes | 27c | 168.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 532 | 58.6%312 W · 220 L | +45.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 20c | 168.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.29 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 46c | 168.18$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.84 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 45c | 167.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3311…d659backed Yes | 43c | 160.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.91 | 195 | 51.8%101 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…2313backed Yes | 20c | 158$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 262 | 56.5%148 W · 114 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e04…80babacked Yes | 18c | 150.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 57c | 149.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 80c | 149$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 73c | 136.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 21c | 126.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e09…151fbacked No | 17c | 121.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +487.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed Yes | 20c | 116.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff32…7da9backed Yes | 26c | 116.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 75c | 115.36$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked Yes | 72c | 113.6$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.48 | 335 | 61.5%206 W · 129 L | -22.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371b…8786backed No | 76c | 112.5$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a9…9642backed Yes | 27c | 112.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 32c | 109.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…2264backed No | 25c | 108$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 52c | 107.18$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 15c | 101.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 430 | 50.2%216 W · 214 L | +21.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb80c…827bbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…5585backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 77c | 99.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f51…8b09backed No | 50c | 99.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 146 | 38.4%56 W · 90 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 70c | 96.4$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…bdb4backed Yes | 78c | 95$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 13c | 93.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 59c | 92.62$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 46c | 91.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed Yes | 22c | 91.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 53c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 78c | 85.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…5d00backed No | 32c | 85.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.71 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…f811backed Yes | 43c | 84.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 35c | 84.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a96…286bbacked No | 43c | 80.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +122.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f8…8e32backed Yes | 52c | 80.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 79c | 76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…d803backed Yes | 58c | 75.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 401 | 32.9%132 W · 269 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c85…b89cbacked No | 59c | 75.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 19c | 75.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7da…5b7bbacked Yes | 49c | 75.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked No | 66c | 73.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3b…ae48backed Yes | 27c | 73.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +22.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed Yes | 20c | 72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 439 | 59.5%261 W · 178 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb9…ce8fbacked No | 25c | 72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fe…74bcbacked No | 73c | 70.55$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 186 | 71%132 W · 54 L | +19.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fc…7a72backed No | 26c | 69.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dd…4226backed No | 35c | 69.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 23c | 65.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 56c | 65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked No | 24c | 65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 485 | 23.7%115 W · 370 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd372…04bebacked Yes | 41c | 60.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9149…f2dabacked No | 62c | 59.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Yes | 29c | 59.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cd…eaecbacked Yes | 67c | 58.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 32c | 57.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 21c | 57.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2b…d6a7backed Yes | 25c | 53.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…e96abacked Yes | 26c | 53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed No | 19c | 53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 173 | 24.3%42 W · 131 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.