Lol · resolved market

LoL: Francesinhas vs GD Esports (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7007eafc84e5987a01440282ae2faa7b22913d53820b789e049b356f868b7e6a

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Francesinhasof Francesinhas, GD Esports
Resolved: Aug 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $82,868
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $89,633

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,868 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2cf8…2dc8backed GD Esports	47c	11,962$5,637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,637.38	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed GD Esports	43c	8,464$3,607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,606.93	1,477	48.3%713 W · 764 L	+45.1wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x347e…48ffbacked Francesinhas	43c	3,967$1,721 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,246.28	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.57per pick	43cpaid	+130.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed GD Esports	29c	3,275$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939.72	1,389	37.7%524 W · 865 L	-45.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed GD Esports	40c	2,802$1,113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,113.38	2,202	33.3%733 W · 1,469 L	-72.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed Francesinhas	64c	2,575$1,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$925.42	585	59.7%349 W · 236 L	+28.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf097…83edbacked Francesinhas	57c	2,015$1,151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$864.15	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked GD Esports	46c	1,288$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595.61	354	35.3%125 W · 229 L	-12.3wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb35f…cf4cbacked Francesinhas	71c	1,197$855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342.53	448	46.2%207 W · 241 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed Francesinhas	54c	1,037$565 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$472.17	319	53%169 W · 150 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0b3…b220backed GD Esports	17c	1,000$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.74	358	50.8%182 W · 176 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed GD Esports	43c	926.21$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$397.01	453	38%172 W · 281 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed GD Esports	46c	916$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.14	343	40.5%139 W · 204 L	-18.2wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e5a…f616backed Francesinhas	64c	823.56$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.77	114	64%73 W · 41 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Francesinhas	56c	804.58$451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.75	1,826	39.9%728 W · 1,098 L	-61.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x984f…9a43backed Francesinhas	62c	803.33$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.75	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.1wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Francesinhas	64c	781.72$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.72	1,663	59.5%990 W · 673 L	+98.5wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d14…36fdbacked Francesinhas	18c	632$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$518.24	143	46.2%66 W · 77 L	+13.0wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+46.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked GD Esports	64c	577.12$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.91	1,971	30.5%601 W · 1,370 L	-170.0wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed GD Esports	56c	574.29$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.68	218	36.7%80 W · 138 L	-13.9wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b68…4785backed Francesinhas	40c	537.66$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320.94	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed GD Esports	13c	472.74$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.1	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Francesinhas	39c	391$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.86	549	34.8%191 W · 358 L	-15.6wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Francesinhas	49c	368.67$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.83	193	44%85 W · 108 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Francesinhas	61c	306.71$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.23	1,047	50.3%527 W · 520 L	+37.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf21…d34abacked Francesinhas	56c	300$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.94	144	61.8%89 W · 55 L	+9.1wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed GD Esports	55c	299.05$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.14	438	37.9%166 W · 272 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Francesinhas	55c	274.9$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.7	1,385	45.1%625 W · 760 L	-12.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Francesinhas	55c	274.89$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.7	1,156	45.1%521 W · 635 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked GD Esports	32c	265.14$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.58	944	44.4%419 W · 525 L	-31.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked GD Esports	21c	257.17$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.53	556	28.6%159 W · 397 L	-31.8wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked GD Esports	16c	240.07$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.41	406	37.7%153 W · 253 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed GD Esports	19c	230.1$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.42	978	54.4%532 W · 446 L	+48.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb989…2166backed GD Esports	38c	224.8$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.25	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Francesinhas	59c	210.15$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.08	2,679	35.7%957 W · 1,722 L	-153.5wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x32e5…ee75backed Francesinhas	39c	210$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.1	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+86%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc84f…bb5bbacked Francesinhas	46c	193.84$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.84	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.21per pick	39cpaid	+87.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed GD Esports	46c	191.9$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.34	178	35.4%63 W · 115 L	-6.5wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked GD Esports	39c	181.99$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.48	172	41.9%72 W · 100 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x868f…5da6backed Francesinhas	57c	174.48$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.48	196	56.6%111 W · 85 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed Francesinhas	61c	170$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.3	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed GD Esports	16c	160.39$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.42	231	36.4%84 W · 147 L	-13.7wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Francesinhas	51c	138.48$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.86	156	42.9%67 W · 89 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Francesinhas	33c	112$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.04	252	40.1%101 W · 151 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Francesinhas	59c	105.48$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.95	460	58%267 W · 193 L	+8.6wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked GD Esports	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	777	41.7%324 W · 453 L	-27.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed GD Esports	33c	99$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.06	3,131	33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L	-150.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27b9…90d0backed GD Esports	52c	98$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.17	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed GD Esports	38c	97$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.94	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ba9…2210backed Francesinhas	42c	95.24$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.24	7	100%7 W · 0 L	+3.7wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+113.4%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed GD Esports	38c	91.15$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.19	1,058	23.5%249 W · 809 L	-75.8wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed GD Esports	65c	80.03$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.02	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Francesinhas	63c	77.49$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.57	407	41.5%169 W · 238 L	-11.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked GD Esports	56c	74.78$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.64	86	41.9%36 W · 50 L	-7.5wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed GD Esports	57c	70.5$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.32	1,924	35.9%691 W · 1,233 L	-97.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked GD Esports	29c	67$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.3	212	31.1%66 W · 146 L	-14.3wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x59d8…ad87backed Francesinhas	62c	64.94$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.94	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed GD Esports	55c	62.11$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.28	238	42.9%102 W · 136 L	-21.1wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x36de…cf07backed Francesinhas	65c	61.54$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.54	153	59.5%91 W · 62 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Francesinhas	66c	55$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.59	464	36.4%169 W · 295 L	-24.1wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc206…adf8backed Francesinhas	57c	52.63$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.63	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b12…1a7bbacked GD Esports	50c	52.62$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.31	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ae…2ff5backed Francesinhas	23c	51.5$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.5	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-24%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2888…f1a4backed Francesinhas	47c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	539	32.5%175 W · 364 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xece0…7dc9backed GD Esports	52c	49.7$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.85	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Francesinhas	63c	49$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.04	498	41.6%207 W · 291 L	-15.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Francesinhas	67c	46.4$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.39	205	47.8%98 W · 107 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked GD Esports	51c	44.66$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.72	580	43.3%251 W · 329 L	-47.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-27%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4509…58aebacked Francesinhas	54c	43.5$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.97	1,055	39.6%418 W · 637 L	-74.9wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x69d2…a218backed GD Esports	46c	43.47$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Francesinhas	66c	39.99$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	465	62.4%290 W · 175 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff16…c211backed Francesinhas	65c	39.17$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.71	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.11per pick	63cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb978…fac0backed Francesinhas	63c	31.56$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.56	136	64%87 W · 49 L	+10.2wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54fd…c606backed Francesinhas	33c	30$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	68	63.2%43 W · 25 L	+13.4wins	+0.20per pick	44cpaid	+43%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x5de8…f004backed Francesinhas	64c	29$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.54	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-3.4wins	-0.14per pick	62cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed GD Esports	53c	28.34$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.98	1,310	49.2%644 W · 666 L	-23.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda33…cd9abacked Francesinhas	65c	28.27$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.76	69	63.8%44 W · 25 L	+7.6wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb1c…2679backed Francesinhas	63c	27.36$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.12	444	61.7%274 W · 170 L	+27.0wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Francesinhas	50c	22.8$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.38	1,357	31.2%423 W · 934 L	-129.6wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Francesinhas	55c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.1	1,638	46.7%765 W · 873 L	-26.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked Francesinhas	57c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.55	273	48%131 W · 142 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d86…ad9bbacked Francesinhas	59c	19.73$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.09	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa32…a296backed Francesinhas	80c	18.75$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.75	51	62.7%32 W · 19 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7e9…866bbacked Francesinhas	64c	15.94$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.74	441	54.2%239 W · 202 L	+9.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: Francesinhas vs GD Esports (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stagethis page
LoL: Francesinhas vs GD Esports - Game 1 WinnerFrancesinhas won
LoL: Francesinhas vs GD Esports - Game 2 WinnerFrancesinhas won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: Francesinhas vs GD Esports (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event