NHL · resolved market
KHL: Traktor vs. Ak Bars Kazan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73a67b26ead4f98020f7dca2deca568f0a16c8c7cdc6e1c80cda2ecb786fc1eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ak Bars Kazanof Traktor, Ak Bars Kazan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Traktor | 52c | 1,412$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.83 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Traktor | 1c | 1,300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Traktor | 47c | 970.98$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.6 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Ak Bars Kazan | 47c | 750.56$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.44 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Ak Bars Kazan | 48c | 695.91$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.99 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Traktor | 52c | 683.77$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.42 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 566.81$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.2 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Traktor | 28c | 456.33$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.73 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Ak Bars Kazan | 47c | 434.75$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.03 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb3…dfbebacked Ak Bars Kazan | 39c | 433$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Traktor | 51c | 423$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.86 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Ak Bars Kazan | 67c | 395.24$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.71 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ak Bars Kazan | 48c | 343.55$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.66 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Ak Bars Kazan | 75c | 292$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.39 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +10.8wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Traktor | 52c | 264.86$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.57 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Traktor | 39c | 263.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.21 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Ak Bars Kazan | 43c | 235.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.47 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 45c | 222.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.28 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…ac47backed Traktor | 53c | 193.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.63 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 48c | 180.86$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.37 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed Ak Bars Kazan | 55c | 174.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.25 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Ak Bars Kazan | 57c | 131.76$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Traktor | 52c | 130$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Ak Bars Kazan | 41c | 122.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Traktor | 20c | 115$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Ak Bars Kazan | 50c | 100.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Ak Bars Kazan | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Traktor | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ff…0a13backed Traktor | 54c | 82.07$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Ak Bars Kazan | 48c | 74.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 70.91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ak Bars Kazan | 62c | 65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…3fcbbacked Traktor | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Ak Bars Kazan | 48c | 49.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d39…1ca7backed Ak Bars Kazan | 49c | 46.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Ak Bars Kazan | 37c | 46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 44c | 44.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Traktor | 49c | 41.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a84…cac8backed Ak Bars Kazan | 49c | 40.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Ak Bars Kazan | 49c | 40.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Traktor | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 46c | 39.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Ak Bars Kazan | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 53c | 32.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 451 | 49.4%223 W · 228 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 30.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Ak Bars Kazan | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Traktor | 52c | 28.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1d…ab6abacked Traktor | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cec…6406backed Ak Bars Kazan | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Traktor | 54c | 22.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Ak Bars Kazan | 55c | 19.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.