Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74f3d0202bf7a80bc7ec2f1eb9faaa9fa9acf597a5d30f35deaa5e3ee486993c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 54c | 1,021$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.06 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 39c | 704.13$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.23 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 47c | 669.88$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.75 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 43c | 446.18$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.12 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 77c | 332.39$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.93 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 46c | 285.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.77 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…b31ebacked Yes | 38c | 244.11$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.32 | 162 | 95.7%155 W · 7 L | +61.2wins | +0.38per pick | 58cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 86+0.33 edge/pick |
| 0x3fad…1a08backed Yes | 42c | 238.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.29 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…f330backed Yes | 43c | 233.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.37 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 57c | 202.44$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.17 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 52c | 202.01$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.97 | 307 | 22.1%68 W · 239 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…2e46backed No | 57c | 198.37$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.07 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 56c | 175.46$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.63 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 60c | 160.45$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.33 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 56c | 152$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.87 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 57c | 143.26$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.26 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked Yes | 41c | 143.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.46 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 53c | 140$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x233a…0858backed Yes | 30c | 130.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed No | 57c | 118.77$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 60c | 117.29$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 40c | 116.58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 51c | 115.65$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 54c | 101.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…e17ebacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 63c | 99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…1733backed No | 65c | 95.73$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 59c | 90$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 39c | 84.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes | 39c | 82.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed Yes | 39c | 82.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.71 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b3…14f8backed No | 75c | 80.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 124 | 66.1%82 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c3…92fcbacked Yes | 39c | 76.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 176 | 49.4%87 W · 89 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24cf…7e5cbacked Yes | 41c | 73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 54c | 73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 41c | 70.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbc…9282backed Yes | 40c | 62.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 59c | 60.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed Yes | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 278 | 52.9%147 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e3…9208backed No | 54c | 57.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 66cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x489c…1a43backed No | 57c | 55.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65a5…2aeebacked No | 52c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…ea2fbacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 39c | 49.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Yes | 40c | 48.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 182 | 40.1%73 W · 109 L | -16.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…ad42backed No | 65c | 48.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 55c | 47.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 41c | 43.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b6…0ab8backed Yes | 38c | 43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 52c | 41.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d8…af42backed No | 58c | 40.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…8d41backed No | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 423 | 66.4%281 W · 142 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…42efbacked Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | -13.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…c6d7backed No | 65c | 38.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 371 | 50.4%187 W · 184 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…07dfbacked No | 72c | 37.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 41c | 35.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85aa…691bbacked No | 58c | 34.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83f4…0cc5backed Yes | 46c | 34.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…434fbacked Yes | 41c | 34.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48c0…53d5backed Yes | 49c | 32.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 38c | 30.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 46c | 27.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 46c | 27.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250a…c9adbacked No | 52c | 26.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3473…e864backed Yes | 41c | 26.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2657…bad1backed No | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…3d0fbacked No | 52c | 25.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…2202backed Yes | 49c | 24.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0428…7d12backed Yes | 42c | 24.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 301 | 36.9%111 W · 190 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…ca22backed No | 66c | 24.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb141…aa3bbacked No | 60c | 20.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 124 | 53.2%66 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…76a0backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…dcfebacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…0a3fbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…df40backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1,043 | 62.9%656 W · 387 L | -11.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…a889backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 927 | 61.7%572 W · 355 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31a…8817backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…ef55backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd41…ea0bbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f18…dc6dbacked No | 58c | 19.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 60c | 18.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 62c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6962…733ebacked No | 70c | 15.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.