Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74fb372e72f4d57f5b407daf7fff9c1093c8bf70b9b25bc1331f8a7f436de513
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 58c | 4,362$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.26 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 34c | 1,615$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.98 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 3c | 870$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 40c | 376.97$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.42 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 46c | 357.57$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.92 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 28c | 348.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.92 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 50c | 347.65$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.04 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 56c | 302.4$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.14 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 37c | 291.3$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.84 | 749 | 26.7%200 W · 549 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 58c | 225$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.74 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 31c | 217.71$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.89 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 80c | 210.11$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 56c | 195.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.12 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 64c | 189.15$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.28 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…78b5backed No | 56c | 177.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 34.2%55 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 43c | 144.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 60c | 129.68$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 41c | 123.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed No | 33c | 116.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 48c | 110$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 46c | 104.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 33c | 102.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 46c | 100.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 56c | 99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed No | 74c | 97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 46c | 97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed No | 73c | 96.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.34 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 38c | 93.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…9379backed No | 58c | 93.06$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 59c | 90.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 69c | 88.25$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 53c | 83.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc0…cc78backed No | 49c | 82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 33c | 77.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 37c | 76.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 50c | 73.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 56c | 72.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 27c | 68.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 52c | 66.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 42c | 63.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 68c | 63.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 32c | 63.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 70c | 60.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 33c | 60.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 46c | 58.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 36c | 56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 41c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 56c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…f816backed No | 55c | 51.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 42c | 51.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…f1f5backed Yes | 27c | 51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 70c | 50.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2283…526bbacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 70c | 49.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…a5f9backed No | 43c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 310 | 50.3%156 W · 154 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…a9d2backed No | 28c | 45.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 292 | 19.5%57 W · 235 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 61c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed No | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 407 | 39.3%160 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…c731backed No | 46c | 43.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked No | 72c | 41.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 34c | 41.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 55c | 39.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 40c | 38.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe985…8cc8backed No | 33c | 37.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 83 | 25.3%21 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a96…cf5cbacked Yes | 31c | 37.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 37c | 36.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 59c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 35c | 33.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…840cbacked Yes | 70c | 32.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 151 | 52.3%79 W · 72 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…860ebacked No | 44c | 32.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 37c | 31.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 62c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 52c | 30.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…743abacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked Yes | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0a…a70bbacked Yes | 56c | 26.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…478abacked Yes | 42c | 25.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 72c | 22.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…c178backed No | 69c | 21.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 70c | 21.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 53c | 20.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 443 | 66.1%293 W · 150 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x746d…2db5backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…2639backed Yes | 63c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 438 | 42%184 W · 254 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…898abacked Yes | 63c | 16.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 301 | 68.8%207 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…3b38backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 471 | 75.6%356 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 257 | 66.1%170 W · 87 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…1d7bbacked Yes | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.