Tweets · resolved market
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x763244944621b2513e1e6a8a6149b17f0f668cbd8f41f0ac0e39a968b8739ae5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 79c | 543.38$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.11 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 38c | 368.54$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.73 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…8d4cbacked Yes | 69c | 243.57$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 39c | 230.68$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 124 | 9.7%12 W · 112 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8b…1fb1backed Yes | 55c | 222.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0442…c517backed Yes | 35c | 210.1$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.42 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes | 65c | 176.92$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.58 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 30c | 143.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.55 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 32c | 140$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 53c | 121.7$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 50c | 116.11$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…98f0backed Yes | 75c | 86$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 330 | 27.9%92 W · 238 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 77c | 85.35$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 31c | 84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…da02backed Yes | 64c | 66.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 68c | 62.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 64c | 53.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 292 | 25%73 W · 219 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 67c | 48.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ff…d69fbacked No | 33c | 43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 276 | 47.8%132 W · 144 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f43…f942backed Yes | 68c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd615…ae32backed Yes | 47c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3955…c4b8backed Yes | 38c | 29.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed Yes | 54c | 28.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 38c | 28.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…5138backed Yes | 79c | 26.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…a963backed Yes | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 57c | 25.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 62c | 20.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 74c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 145 | 75.9%110 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb119…680bbacked No | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?this page
- Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?No won
- Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?No won
- Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.