Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x798d6e6a60fc4557bf4fa8a20e6d3b0561dc84a8ece8748c8458bf0431bf2dd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 28c | 1,135$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.27 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 69c | 662.83$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.9 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 48c | 466.47$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.38 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 47c | 414.07$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.57 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 60c | 298.92$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.68 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…1adfbacked No | 58c | 280$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.24 | 312 | 62.5%195 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 36c | 217.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.13 | 605 | 23.3%141 W · 464 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 15c | 203.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 47c | 186.63$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.47 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 75c | 181.76$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.59 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…f2a6backed Yes | 29c | 173$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 378 | 35.4%134 W · 244 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 30c | 149.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.6 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 55c | 148.88$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedeb…3553backed Yes | 72c | 138.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 75c | 133.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 72c | 129.92$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.97 | 471 | 36.5%172 W · 299 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 47c | 126.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf132…c706backed Yes | 27c | 116.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 308 | 13.6%42 W · 266 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba0…a083backed Yes | 30c | 112.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 41c | 111.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 53c | 107.52$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 28c | 107.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.2 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed Yes | 32c | 104.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 42c | 100.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 77c | 96$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 67c | 90$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafc…ec67backed Yes | 61c | 85.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 447 | 57.3%256 W · 191 L | +53.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 70c | 84.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…dfa5backed Yes | 24c | 83.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.42 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 32c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 72c | 78.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 32c | 71.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 68c | 71.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 27c | 71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 382 | 58.9%225 W · 157 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420d…544abacked Yes | 35c | 66.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…9fc4backed Yes | 45c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 32c | 66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1b…8ad5backed Yes | 68c | 65.72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8215…1279backed No | 47c | 61.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 387 | 58.7%227 W · 160 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5c…f7e9backed Yes | 33c | 60.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 45c | 56.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2e…40adbacked Yes | 50c | 54.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 295 | 20.7%61 W · 234 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 49c | 54.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 64c | 54.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 29c | 53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 30c | 50.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 59c | 49.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…2fadbacked Yes | 34c | 49.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 120 | 68.3%82 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9881…14ebbacked Yes | 32c | 42.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…e592backed Yes | 68c | 41.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…6a1abacked No | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…9571backed No | 68c | 41.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 211 | 73.5%155 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 27c | 39.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 46c | 36.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 391 | 57%223 W · 168 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 71c | 35.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e7…8b59backed Yes | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 434 | 41.5%180 W · 254 L | +29.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 78c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 55c | 34.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b18…bd24backed No | 58c | 34.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…1d02backed No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 123 | 63.4%78 W · 45 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…f139backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 297 | 40.7%121 W · 176 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed Yes | 36c | 28.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 420 | 49%206 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…5659backed Yes | 65c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 74c | 27.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 75c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 64c | 25.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 430 | 50.2%216 W · 214 L | +21.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 70c | 25.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked No | 72c | 25.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked No | 51c | 22.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 358 | 54.7%196 W · 162 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba5…191ebacked Yes | 66c | 20.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1eea…00c5backed Yes | 51c | 20.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…71d7backed No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 333 | 73%243 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 62c | 20.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 56c | 20.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 76c | 19.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 68c | 19.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 64c | 18.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 69c | 17.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 74c | 17.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b3…7d44backed No | 74c | 17.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 73c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c35…4801backed No | 64c | 15.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf075…3f43backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 108 | 66.7%72 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c1…1bebbacked No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 276 | 48.6%134 W · 142 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6192…48efbacked Yes | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 79°F or below on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.