Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: ROSE vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b4a889b320b2cf96c3bf0435ca09f46e4b3a41cf752cfe359550a92c2279229
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pigeonsof ROSE, Pigeons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8660…93edbacked ROSE | 40c | 9,450$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780.03 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Pigeons | 60c | 8,646$5,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,471.24 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed Pigeons | 73c | 4,673$3,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.2 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed ROSE | 34c | 3,076$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.68 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed Pigeons | 58c | 2,354$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.79 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Pigeons | 59c | 1,600$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.35 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked ROSE | 42c | 999.98$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…9c0abacked Pigeons | 59c | 831.79$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ROSE | 25c | 679.74$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.94 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ROSE | 29c | 513$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.05 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed ROSE | 42c | 503.68$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.55 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed ROSE | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked ROSE | 38c | 437.44$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.23 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ROSE | 19c | 392.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.11 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ROSE | 23c | 368.54$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.42 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked ROSE | 42c | 330$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed ROSE | 42c | 326.18$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.66 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed ROSE | 28c | 311$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ROSE | 42c | 301.33$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.49 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ROSE | 30c | 300.71$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.15 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Pigeons | 74c | 269.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 109 | 75.2%82 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked ROSE | 29c | 264.89$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.93 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Pigeons | 59c | 258$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.76 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Pigeons | 62c | 219.85$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.54 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Pigeons | 58c | 210.34$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.34 | 186 | 47.8%89 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked ROSE | 45c | 193.56$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…5d2bbacked Pigeons | 57c | 186.05$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked ROSE | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed ROSE | 42c | 177.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -11.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Pigeons | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Pigeons | 78c | 171.69$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ROSE | 23c | 169.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Pigeons | 60c | 155.86$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 223 | 44.4%99 W · 124 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Pigeons | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ROSE | 25c | 144.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed ROSE | 24c | 121$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24dc…25abbacked ROSE | 42c | 116.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed ROSE | 43c | 115.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked ROSE | 22c | 108.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed ROSE | 42c | 103$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Pigeons | 59c | 102.73$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed ROSE | 43c | 101$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Pigeons | 57c | 101$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed ROSE | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Pigeons | 78c | 95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed ROSE | 44c | 90.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Pigeons | 75c | 81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Pigeons | 55c | 76.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed ROSE | 24c | 71.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Pigeons | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked ROSE | 22c | 55.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 158 | 33.5%53 W · 105 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked ROSE | 42c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed ROSE | 42c | 51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Pigeons | 63c | 50.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Pigeons | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Pigeons | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Pigeons | 78c | 49.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ROSE | 34c | 49.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked ROSE | 22c | 47.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…59d9backed ROSE | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…e9f0backed ROSE | 32c | 42.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed ROSE | 42c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Pigeons | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Pigeons | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Pigeons | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 78cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Pigeons | 62c | 35.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed ROSE | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Pigeons | 72c | 28.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked ROSE | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Pigeons | 65c | 21.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04d…90fdbacked Pigeons | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d5…2c23backed Pigeons | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Pigeons | 74c | 14.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: ROSE vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: ROSE vs Pigeons - Map 1 WinnerPigeons won
- Valorant: ROSE vs Pigeons - Map 2 WinnerPigeons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.