Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bf3941701398c9d0afba3e390380ed6cf97468bb885bb910dbb8450529ae06f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9ec…710abacked Yes | 6c | 499.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 43c | 489.74$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.31 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 56c | 425.6$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.48 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed Yes | 8c | 407.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 12c | 330.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 55c | 304.17$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.73 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 53c | 299.06$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.52 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 59c | 296$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.69 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…2efebacked Yes | 50c | 294.86$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.3 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -7.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 42c | 292.72$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 10c | 265.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 51c | 252.23$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.79 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 51c | 197.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 56c | 167.06$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…4d7bbacked No | 58c | 152.75$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.16 | 183 | 68.9%126 W · 57 L | +25.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 77c | 152$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 40c | 150.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 9c | 147.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 10c | 146.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 15c | 145.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked Yes | 53c | 140$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 48c | 117.55$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 10c | 114.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 44c | 114.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 45c | 114.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 65c | 111.57$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed No | 59c | 108.74$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 278 | 52.9%147 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked Yes | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…9754backed No | 76c | 88.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 136 | 30.1%41 W · 95 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 30c | 85.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…7712backed Yes | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8746…f522backed Yes | 61c | 78.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 30c | 75.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed Yes | 43c | 75.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 52c | 74.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 72c | 71.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed No | 48c | 70.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 60c | 68.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Yes | 42c | 62.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d72…b6e0backed Yes | 41c | 59.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x463a…af96backed Yes | 50c | 58.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 43c | 55.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 44c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 39c | 54.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed No | 74c | 53.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…0ed9backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…e47abacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 31.5%57 W · 124 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ad…5f89backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 58c | 48.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 49c | 48.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed No | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 456 | 75.2%343 W · 113 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8f…ac04backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 43c | 38.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 51c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0428…7d12backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 301 | 36.9%111 W · 190 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 34.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1a…8572backed No | 76c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 54c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed Yes | 42c | 29.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 42c | 29.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 44c | 28.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 58c | 27.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9a…72b2backed Yes | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d3…118ebacked Yes | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 208 | 42.8%89 W · 119 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 56c | 25.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 59c | 22.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 49c | 21.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 63c | 20.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0eb…9b18backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked Yes | 53c | 19.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…db37backed No | 58c | 17.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 2?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.