Lol · resolved market
LoL: White Dragons vs Tung Tung Bogi - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c9513eba44a546bc8a935362fd033ff99f5d60d8cd1627f5de7154cf90d2e87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- White Dragonsof White Dragons, Tung Tung Bogi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Tung Tung Bogi | 14c | 3,177$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.67 | 2,279 | 33%753 W · 1,526 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tung Tung Bogi | 57c | 1,606$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.45 | 1,893 | 39.8%754 W · 1,139 L | -68.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 14c | 1,181$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.12 | 2,088 | 30.6%639 W · 1,449 L | -176.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…7537backed Tung Tung Bogi | 13c | 700$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c9…8709backed White Dragons | 34c | 614.36$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.8 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Tung Tung Bogi | 13c | 555$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 5c | 250.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed White Dragons | 46c | 233$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.95 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Tung Tung Bogi | 13c | 213.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 355 | 40%142 W · 213 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…fac0backed Tung Tung Bogi | 28c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 177 | 62.7%111 W · 66 L | +12.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 71c | 195.06$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.44 | 186 | 32.3%60 W · 126 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…6197backed Tung Tung Bogi | 13c | 180.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Tung Tung Bogi | 13c | 171.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d14…36fdbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 45c | 169.03$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 168 | 47.6%80 W · 88 L | +16.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +47%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b68…4785backed White Dragons | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…a635backed Tung Tung Bogi | 44c | 91.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed White Dragons | 70c | 88.74$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,509 | 48.5%732 W · 777 L | +48.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed White Dragons | 52c | 75.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 1,398 | 49.4%691 W · 707 L | -20.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Tung Tung Bogi | 59c | 68.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Tung Tung Bogi | 48c | 66.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 469 | 38%178 W · 291 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…dcd6backed White Dragons | 49c | 55.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed White Dragons | 48c | 48.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Tung Tung Bogi | 28c | 43.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 170 | 19.4%33 W · 137 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…db89backed Tung Tung Bogi | 33c | 41.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…50d4backed Tung Tung Bogi | 32c | 37.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed White Dragons | 44c | 32.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 262 | 43.1%113 W · 149 L | -22.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x100c…edc9backed Tung Tung Bogi | 50c | 31.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed White Dragons | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 413 | 56.9%235 W · 178 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed White Dragons | 58c | 23.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,431 | 31.2%446 W · 985 L | -141.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: White Dragons vs Tung Tung Bogi - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: White Dragons vs Tung Tung Bogi (BO5) - LPLOL PlayoffsWhite Dragons won
- LoL: White Dragons vs Tung Tung Bogi - Game 1 WinnerWhite Dragons won
- LoL: White Dragons vs Tung Tung Bogi - Game 3 WinnerWhite Dragons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.