NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7df06698bdb50b17966b0528e49ddf4e19dd04c8aa5b865379ac2c7848f6e069
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Wizards, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Wizards | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Wizards | 5c | 11,413$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.74 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x049a…b22abacked Wizards | 0c | 6,400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Wizards | 11c | 5,861$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.9 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 17c | 5,561$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.31 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Wizards | 3c | 4,490$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.9 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Wizards | 16c | 4,139$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.22 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Wizards | 19c | 3,207$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.36 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Wizards | 15c | 2,999$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.92 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Wizards | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Wizards | 9c | 1,700$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf9…294abacked Wizards | 16c | 1,550$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Wizards | 17c | 1,489$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.07 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Wizards | 18c | 1,300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Wizards | 7c | 1,254$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.72 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5de…ec44backed Wizards | 3c | 1,249$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x416a…fd6cbacked Wizards | 16c | 1,200$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Wizards | 18c | 1,021$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.32 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Wizards | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Wizards | 17c | 1,000$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.31 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wizards | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1668…c545backed Wizards | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96fb…b2a3backed Wizards | 17c | 950$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Wizards | 18c | 834.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.16 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Wizards | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Wizards | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Wizards | 3c | 588$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Wizards | 6c | 484.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bulls | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299d…691dbacked Wizards | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…adcebacked Wizards | 15c | 399.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…a99dbacked Wizards | 15c | 399.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Wizards | 14c | 324.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…188bbacked Wizards | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 28%52 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bulls | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…c5b2backed Wizards | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Wizards | 19c | 285.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wizards | 18c | 285.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d9…b270backed Wizards | 16c | 281.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2ea8backed Wizards | 19c | 240$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Wizards | 16c | 239.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 269 | 33.5%90 W · 179 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Wizards | 9c | 233.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Wizards | 16c | 218.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 15c | 205.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Wizards | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Wizards | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards | 15c | 196.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Wizards | 18c | 188.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Wizards | 16c | 168.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Wizards | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 264 | 39.4%104 W · 160 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Wizards | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…aba8backed Wizards | 18c | 152.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70de…5688backed Wizards | 12c | 151.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2400…f2b7backed Wizards | 20c | 149.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4842…f97ebacked Wizards | 17c | 147.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Wizards | 17c | 141.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2543…4ffbbacked Wizards | 17c | 141.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Wizards | 11c | 140$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…87c9backed Wizards | 15c | 129.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0b…f7adbacked Wizards | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…b526backed Wizards | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Wizards | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eca…80e6backed Wizards | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…6e78backed Wizards | 16c | 118.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd904…0a2dbacked Wizards | 17c | 117.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfd…4ef4backed Wizards | 17c | 111.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Wizards | 15c | 111$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Wizards | 16c | 107.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Wizards | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Wizards | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe98…e171backed Wizards | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bulls | 74c | 95.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ec…d1d7backed Wizards | 18c | 94.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Wizards | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…2ed6backed Wizards | 16c | 67.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0910…b74bbacked Wizards | 16c | 63.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Wizards | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 306 | 48.7%149 W · 157 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20fa…a2bebacked Bulls | 75c | 47.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…9f71backed Wizards | 25c | 42.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Bulls | 75c | 35.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a3…9605backed Bulls | 80c | 33.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…1085backed Bulls | 76c | 29.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d98…5b44backed Bulls | 75c | 29.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d1…a6aebacked Bulls | 80c | 28.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…8f24backed Bulls | 75c | 28.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac49…78d9backed Bulls | 77c | 27.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd54b…2fb1backed Bulls | 80c | 25.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce0…50b9backed Bulls | 79c | 24.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b1…1b61backed Bulls | 77c | 24.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4394…e815backed Bulls | 75c | 23.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5662…e0f5backed Bulls | 75c | 22.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…75e1backed Bulls | 75c | 21.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61c…3873backed Bulls | 76c | 21.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7686…5b15backed Bulls | 77c | 20.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabe…f1b4backed Bulls | 77c | 19.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8932…6cf8backed Bulls | 75c | 19.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ba…688dbacked Bulls | 78c | 19.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…00f1backed Bulls | 80c | 19.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa274…14e8backed Bulls | 75c | 18.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.