CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80e276e6145646e18fcf280dd766f4cb66e1d97c1f02033723657ebabb2d5525
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ASTRALof ASTRAL, megoshort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked ASTRAL | 55c | 2,800$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.99 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed megoshort | 30c | 2,358$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.2 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed megoshort | 35c | 2,048$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.75 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed ASTRAL | 54c | 1,300$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.99 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed megoshort | 42c | 1,145$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.12 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked ASTRAL | 49c | 1,133$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.46 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ASTRAL | 63c | 1,023$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.49 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked megoshort | 38c | 999.4$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.98 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed ASTRAL | 60c | 883.65$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.33 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ASTRAL | 63c | 847.62$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.14 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked ASTRAL | 60c | 797.53$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.01 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked megoshort | 45c | 788.33$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.57 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed megoshort | 39c | 750.6$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.26 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed megoshort | 18c | 745.94$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.56 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed megoshort | 33c | 745.1$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.71 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked megoshort | 51c | 635.62$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.81 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed megoshort | 13c | 623.94$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.27 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba12…6a47backed megoshort | 38c | 610.36$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed ASTRAL | 62c | 569.16$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.28 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked megoshort | 36c | 515.56$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.6 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ASTRAL | 51c | 514.65$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.18 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed megoshort | 40c | 484.03$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.61 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked megoshort | 45c | 431.59$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.47 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed megoshort | 46c | 406.73$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.1 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed megoshort | 34c | 405.04$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.52 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed ASTRAL | 61c | 387.92$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.29 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked ASTRAL | 63c | 308.6$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.99 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -20.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed megoshort | 38c | 278.27$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.74 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed megoshort | 39c | 249.03$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked megoshort | 40c | 232.77$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.48 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -8.1wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed megoshort | 23c | 232$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed megoshort | 13c | 212.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed megoshort | 23c | 196.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 134 | 36.6%49 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…40e8backed ASTRAL | 60c | 164.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e64…284bbacked ASTRAL | 60c | 163.57$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed ASTRAL | 62c | 162.22$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.64 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed megoshort | 35c | 153.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked megoshort | 36c | 153.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked megoshort | 33c | 148.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked ASTRAL | 61c | 148.26$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed ASTRAL | 62c | 148$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed ASTRAL | 61c | 147.4$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed megoshort | 40c | 146.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked ASTRAL | 67c | 146.65$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed megoshort | 20c | 142.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked megoshort | 39c | 139.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed megoshort | 29c | 132.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…c071backed megoshort | 39c | 125.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6df…1cf4backed megoshort | 42c | 125.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked megoshort | 34c | 124.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked ASTRAL | 63c | 118.65$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked megoshort | 41c | 117.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed megoshort | 41c | 115.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…6fb2backed megoshort | 21c | 115.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed megoshort | 33c | 109.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed megoshort | 34c | 108.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed megoshort | 28c | 108.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed megoshort | 37c | 104.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ff…6431backed ASTRAL | 62c | 103.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 231 | 65.8%152 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked ASTRAL | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…5f75backed ASTRAL | 53c | 99.68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -9.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked megoshort | 39c | 98.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed megoshort | 29c | 95.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed megoshort | 36c | 91.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52aa…505ebacked ASTRAL | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked megoshort | 39c | 79.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed ASTRAL | 47c | 77.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed ASTRAL | 61c | 77.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed megoshort | 37c | 76.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked megoshort | 47c | 71.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed ASTRAL | 64c | 70.72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked megoshort | 52c | 69.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ASTRAL | 65c | 67.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed megoshort | 38c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed megoshort | 37c | 61.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed megoshort | 40c | 60.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed ASTRAL | 66c | 59.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked megoshort | 45c | 57.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed ASTRAL | 55c | 55.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked megoshort | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked megoshort | 54c | 49.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…cf2dbacked ASTRAL | 56c | 49.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…f490backed ASTRAL | 71c | 41.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked megoshort | 35c | 41.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked ASTRAL | 63c | 39.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed megoshort | 40c | 39.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked megoshort | 48c | 39.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ASTRAL | 63c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed ASTRAL | 62c | 35.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked megoshort | 40c | 35.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked ASTRAL | 51c | 34.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed megoshort | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked ASTRAL | 54c | 34.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed megoshort | 35c | 34.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed megoshort | 45c | 34.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed megoshort | 41c | 32.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked megoshort | 35c | 32.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked megoshort | 39c | 32.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked ASTRAL | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed megoshort | 39c | 31.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs megoshort - Map 1 WinnerASTRAL won
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs megoshort - Map 2 Winnermegoshort won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.