MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85dfa51a01d5d020db1a48cfc4b41553f3ee8a1f48ffd67c78bc06093a1a4481
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $264,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $264,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 52c | 210,543$110,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,524.94 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 48,848$23,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,401.17 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 48,259$22,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,346.7 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 52c | 35,565$18,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,493.8 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 48c | 21,821$10,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,411.82 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 47c | 20,160$9,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,684.57 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 13,803$6,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,237.83 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Under | 47c | 13,483$6,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,146.22 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 47c | 12,325$5,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,513.19 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Under | 47c | 6,268$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,322.26 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 49c | 5,882$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.63 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Under | 47c | 5,382$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,852.52 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.99 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 475 | 52%247 W · 228 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 49c | 2,855$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.11 | 795 | 55.6%442 W · 353 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 48c | 2,048$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.96 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Under | 47c | 2,004$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.12 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fb…4c2abacked Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 49c | 1,846$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.01 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 47c | 1,816$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.71 | 792 | 47.5%376 W · 416 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 454 | 51.3%233 W · 221 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 47c | 1,402$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 336 | 49.1%165 W · 171 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 1,346$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.54 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 48c | 1,312$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.96 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 48c | 1,170$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.98 | 495 | 40.2%199 W · 296 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 490 | 51%250 W · 240 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 40c | 943.84$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.44 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf67…1db4backed Over | 53c | 930.19$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 59c | 914.92$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.71 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 47c | 881.65$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.29 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 47c | 881.4$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.14 | 411 | 41.4%170 W · 241 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 745$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.85 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 698.87$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.36 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…dc4dbacked Under | 48c | 624.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.99 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 615.79$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.66 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 49c | 594.39$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.14 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Under | 49c | 594.39$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.14 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Under | 49c | 588.16$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.96 | 325 | 52.9%172 W · 153 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 49c | 570.2$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.8 | 575 | 51.7%297 W · 278 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under | 48c | 512$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.24 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 47c | 499.04$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.49 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Over | 54c | 469.1$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.31 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed Over | 53c | 454.09$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.39 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed Under | 59c | 427$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 49c | 399$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.49 | 343 | 53.4%183 W · 160 L | +18.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 382.06$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Under | 47c | 380$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.4 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Under | 47c | 373$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.69 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Under | 47c | 372.34$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.34 | 284 | 52.5%149 W · 135 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 56c | 372.26$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.26 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fca…3487backed Under | 49c | 369.47$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.43 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 53c | 320.75$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 49c | 294.08$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.98 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 281.84$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.27 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Under | 49c | 235.27$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ae…d117backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 46.3%75 W · 87 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Under | 48c | 137.33$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Over | 65c | 129.38$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 396 | 53%210 W · 186 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Under | 47c | 125$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Under | 49c | 117.39$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.17 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Under | 49c | 114.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Over | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 816 | 57.1%466 W · 350 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 47c | 113.14$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 527 | 52.2%275 W · 252 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad3f…a377backed Over | 50c | 105.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 48c | 103.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 551 | 46.8%258 W · 293 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ad…be98backed Over | 53c | 99.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 49c | 96.89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 886 | 56.4%500 W · 386 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…65ffbacked Over | 51c | 92.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 1,828 | 54.1%989 W · 839 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 51c | 72.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bea…c4b2backed Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…ad67backed Under | 49c | 63.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…a441backed Over | 53c | 56.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 41c | 56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…7137backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…30f5backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +12.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd30d…6121backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd691…fcc6backed Over | 53c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…0a39backed Under | 48c | 45.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 57c | 42.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 1,176 | 43.8%515 W · 661 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Under | 24c | 41.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5692…b1b0backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…1012backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Under | 48c | 40.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 47c | 40.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 741 | 43.5%322 W · 419 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.