Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87ae441c3cebe3c438320b0774c07eee07b2ea8c4a6c3217b95f782abe27f101
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 61c | 668.54$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.78 | 1,901 | 55.9%1,062 W · 839 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 37c | 460.39$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.76 | 1,488 | 57.3%853 W · 635 L | +46.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 46c | 457.6$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.14 | 4,739 | 47.5%2,249 W · 2,490 L | -186.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked Yes | 52c | 307.76$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.93 | 629 | 60.3%379 W · 250 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…2013backed Yes | 46c | 305.67$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 331 | 54.7%181 W · 150 L | +34.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd2…8eaabacked Yes | 41c | 298.69$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.52 | 163 | 25.8%42 W · 121 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 37c | 277.03$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.79 | 10,952 | 37.4%4,094 W · 6,858 L | +432.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 66c | 258.8$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.78 | 5,625 | 47.8%2,687 W · 2,938 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 43c | 231.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 2,201 | 62.2%1,370 W · 831 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 64c | 204.69$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.03 | 1,067 | 50.7%541 W · 526 L | +29.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecff…5645backed Yes | 54c | 193.37$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.42 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 44c | 165.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.92 | 632 | 21.8%138 W · 494 L | -33.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…8b5ebacked Yes | 56c | 160$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed No | 58c | 158.13$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 1,858 | 42.7%793 W · 1,065 L | +50.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…fcc1backed Yes | 8c | 152.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 45c | 133$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 494 | 49.2%243 W · 251 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 75c | 130.44$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 2,201 | 56.8%1,250 W · 951 L | +69.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 15c | 121.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 725 | 42.2%306 W · 419 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e2…06f4backed No | 47c | 118.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.17 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 57c | 116.55$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 9,962 | 45.9%4,572 W · 5,390 L | -309.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 56c | 111$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 637 | 33.4%213 W · 424 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 17c | 110.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 4,700 | 26.6%1,248 W · 3,452 L | +64.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…4b1abacked Yes | 26c | 104.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 582 | 47.8%278 W · 304 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012f…400dbacked Yes | 43c | 103.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 456 | 30%137 W · 319 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 72c | 103.57$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 2,223 | 56.1%1,247 W · 976 L | +54.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 71c | 100.94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 1,244 | 61.7%767 W · 477 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 70c | 100.53$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 2,216 | 56.8%1,258 W · 958 L | +65.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 54c | 100.18$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 886 | 60.7%538 W · 348 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 57c | 99.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 2,189 | 59.7%1,306 W · 883 L | +26.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked Yes | 37c | 98.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 600 | 32%192 W · 408 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 64c | 98.23$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 2,286 | 57.3%1,309 W · 977 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73b…10bfbacked No | 52c | 94.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 446 | 44.6%199 W · 247 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 32c | 94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 272 | 44.5%121 W · 151 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x158f…2bb3backed Yes | 36c | 93.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…c6d7backed No | 66c | 90.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 523 | 47.6%249 W · 274 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f9…2ce9backed Yes | 41c | 80.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 68c | 80.2$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 2,254 | 56.9%1,283 W · 971 L | +69.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 55c | 80.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 2,340 | 58.7%1,373 W · 967 L | -4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…60e9backed Yes | 47c | 78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 256 | 53.9%138 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e40…2e56backed No | 77c | 77.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 48c | 77.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 547 | 38.6%211 W · 336 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…f7d4backed Yes | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 251 | 58.6%147 W · 104 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc39d…adafbacked Yes | 56c | 74.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 68c | 73.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 2,295 | 59.3%1,360 W · 935 L | +118.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 47c | 69.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 4,467 | 65.1%2,907 W · 1,560 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 73c | 69.15$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 2,233 | 56%1,250 W · 983 L | +47.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040a…118dbacked No | 47c | 66.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba5…c168backed No | 44c | 66.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb50e…efe5backed No | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +208%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 63c | 61.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 2,283 | 58.3%1,331 W · 952 L | +85.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 62c | 59.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 2,176 | 53.1%1,156 W · 1,020 L | +36.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…e1e0backed Yes | 55c | 59.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 62c | 59.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 2,254 | 58.2%1,311 W · 943 L | +84.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 61c | 56.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 12,545 | 46.9%5,879 W · 6,666 L | -39.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bd…eaa7backed Yes | 38c | 56.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 54c | 55.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 1,178 | 40.6%478 W · 700 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 68c | 54.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 2,274 | 56.7%1,289 W · 985 L | +65.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f13…72b5backed Yes | 56c | 53.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 59c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 5,836 | 60%3,502 W · 2,334 L | -112.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 72c | 46.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 2,226 | 59.1%1,316 W · 910 L | +110.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…8ebebacked No | 46c | 44.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 51c | 42.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 6,166 | 49.3%3,038 W · 3,128 L | -117.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…5565backed No | 49c | 40.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 189 | 52.4%99 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1,615 | 61.9%999 W · 616 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa008…a38abacked No | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb8…7809backed No | 52c | 38.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…e09dbacked Yes | 53c | 37.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 786 | 27.1%213 W · 573 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 48c | 35.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1,805 | 50.4%910 W · 895 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 52c | 35.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 1,697 | 52.5%891 W · 806 L | -42.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…167ebacked Yes | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 46c | 33.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 934 | 61.8%577 W · 357 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe188…c1d0backed Yes | 37c | 32.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…4b96backed Yes | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +8.2wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…3f9dbacked Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 467 | 36.8%172 W · 295 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…4c30backed No | 63c | 31.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 47c | 31.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 1,912 | 55.5%1,062 W · 850 L | +6.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 38c | 30.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 520 | 46.9%244 W · 276 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 6,905 | 53.1%3,666 W · 3,239 L | +422.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 4,442 | 53.7%2,387 W · 2,055 L | -17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 814 | 57.5%468 W · 346 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,691 | 47.5%1,278 W · 1,413 L | +48.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa397…7817backed Yes | 54c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 202 | 55.4%112 W · 90 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 44c | 27.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 7,592 | 37.5%2,849 W · 4,743 L | +96.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 45c | 26.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 1,936 | 38.1%737 W · 1,199 L | +296.8wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3e20…dddcbacked Yes | 56c | 23.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 439 | 47.6%209 W · 230 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5500…b4f6backed Yes | 47c | 23.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 177 | 35.6%63 W · 114 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 55c | 22.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 671 | 38.9%261 W · 410 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8337…2827backed Yes | 47c | 21.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked Yes | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 5,193 | 68.3%3,546 W · 1,647 L | +70.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cd…d931backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 265 | 57.7%153 W · 112 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x025e…f233backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Yes | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,184 | 54.9%650 W · 534 L | +49.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed Yes | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 533 | 73.7%393 W · 140 L | +36.8wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed No | 63c | 18.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 485 | 46%223 W · 262 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddba…e638backed No | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 504 | 62.3%314 W · 190 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.