Fifa International · resolved market
Uruguay to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87f4d391f6019bd17d90646e40a2fd910582d59d2fbd874a44ababbf4fa82aaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 5,575$3,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,096.45 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes | 4c | 4,400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.5 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 57c | 2,936$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.68 | 245 | 33.5%82 W · 163 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 42c | 2,793$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.79 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…5541backed No | 71c | 2,096$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.22 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 45c | 1,566$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.8 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 50c | 1,225$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.97 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf400…2f56backed Yes | 55c | 910$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.5 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 55c | 892.86$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.79 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed No | 46c | 804.96$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.68 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes | 17c | 747.69$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.41 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 42c | 699.98$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.82 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 63c | 680.06$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.1 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 3c | 474.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 49c | 414.09$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.61 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…930fbacked Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 180 | 37.2%67 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Yes | 60c | 313$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.68 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6861…b317backed Yes | 65c | 286.23$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.53 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd330…f233backed Yes | 59c | 279.64$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Yes | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 43c | 186.8$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.47 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 54.9%129 W · 106 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…db88backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a6…d556backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb22…fd19backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0392…ab02backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 11c | 161.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9200…1b9bbacked Yes | 64c | 156.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 38c | 149.6$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.87 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099e…b3c1backed Yes | 15c | 130.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 61c | 105.28$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65f5…5e42backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f41…e6aebacked No | 79c | 95.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bc…ece0backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Yes | 20c | 94.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +19.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Yes | 20c | 94.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes | 20c | 94.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | +25.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Yes | 20c | 94.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +20.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 38c | 90.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…d978backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 42c | 85.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…62d0backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf80…9163backed Yes | 59c | 76.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…df38backed Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…b39abacked Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…a3fbbacked Yes | 59c | 52.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 389 | 33.2%129 W · 260 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b89…87babacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 54c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…c1c1backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c3…75abbacked Yes | 57c | 45.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 47c | 44.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddec…caeabacked Yes | 57c | 43.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d35…61d5backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 41c | 41.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f95…cc19backed Yes | 58c | 39.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 44c | 38.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac78…a7b7backed Yes | 53c | 37.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…de2abacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 37c | 33.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed No | 44c | 33.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 55c | 31.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d16…e22fbacked Yes | 56c | 28.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda55…1534backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…d820backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 43c | 25.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Uruguay to win the second half?this page
- Cabo Verde to win the second half?Yes won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Second half draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.