Fifa International · resolved market
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8909a83d514116c469fcdd2b279eb5f9aadb3cafe6421c2a8bf063d1217d4b96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 9,685$7,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.68 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…e52bbacked Yes | 30c | 6,667$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 29c | 4,977$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.25 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 69c | 4,332$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.08 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…7749backed Yes | 33c | 3,057$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 70c | 2,608$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.65 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 71c | 1,425$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.13 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Yes | 32c | 1,417$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.56 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 7c | 1,274$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.84 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,067$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.43 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 745.21$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.57 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 71c | 732.27$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.36 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 71c | 718.63$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.94 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…9565backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b9…a053backed Yes | 33c | 606.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 18c | 591.18$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.08 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 29c | 581$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.49 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 71c | 524.45$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.09 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 71c | 462.92$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.25 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Yes | 30c | 422.33$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1d…d2afbacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Yes | 7c | 357$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 356.99$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 356.98$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.96 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 30c | 334$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 30c | 309.59$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 71c | 261.33$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 20c | 210$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed Yes | 24c | 210$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 24c | 209.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…1225backed Yes | 10c | 206.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 93 | 15.1%14 W · 79 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 76c | 171$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…4eccbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 76c | 140$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 31c | 135$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 456 | 27.9%127 W · 329 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c1…692cbacked Yes | 30c | 125.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 104$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851f…642fbacked No | 72c | 94.44$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 29c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 79c | 84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 69c | 72.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 73c | 70.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…0cfebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…afedbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed No | 71c | 62.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 322 | 45.3%146 W · 176 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 71c | 43.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 28c | 43.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…bcf7backed No | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 369 | 53.9%199 W · 170 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2a…65b3backed Yes | 30c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6b…3713backed Yes | 29c | 34.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 70c | 27.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…f41abacked No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 257 | 48.6%125 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…23b0backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e3…31dfbacked No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 80c | 16.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Draw at halftime?this page
- Curaçao leading at halftime?No won
- Côte d'Ivoire leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.