TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

National Bank Open, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Lois Boisson

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lois Boissonof Emiliana Arango, Lois Boisson
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,756
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,582

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,756 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd5d4…8b32backed Emiliana Arango5c6,265$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.191,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Emiliana Arango6c3,384$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.036,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Emiliana Arango42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26030339.3%119 W · 184 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5a…d0f0backed Lois Boisson58c2,906$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.5146155.3%255 W · 206 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Emiliana Arango22c2,700$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59471729.8%214 W · 503 L-39.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Emiliana Arango22c2,630$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.5730440.5%123 W · 181 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeab…9cd0backed Emiliana Arango24c2,582$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.4650442.7%215 W · 289 L+12.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Emiliana Arango15c2,230$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.824,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Emiliana Arango23c1,941$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.28,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35f3…092fbacked Emiliana Arango51c1,936$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.0511247.3%53 W · 59 L-11.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Lois Boisson64c1,777$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.534,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x74ab…ee2bbacked Lois Boisson70c1,766$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.047451.4%38 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lois Boisson70c1,392$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.468,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Lois Boisson61c1,000$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.139,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d32…ae18backed Lois Boisson70c785.71$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.717851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Lois Boisson48c699.58$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.281,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8027…2ee8backed Emiliana Arango25c680$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1708022.5%18 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f38…a0edbacked Emiliana Arango28c588.12$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.672123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-52%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Lois Boisson70c539.73$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.681,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed Lois Boisson55c423.82$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.8245256.2%254 W · 198 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Emiliana Arango50c422.52$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.131,14941.3%474 W · 675 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Emiliana Arango53c383.37$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.1936545.2%165 W · 200 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf636…5465backed Emiliana Arango48c382.68$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.778252.4%43 W · 39 L+10.5wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+36.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Lois Boisson66c371.76$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.362,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Emiliana Arango34c368.9$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.261,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Lois Boisson48c365.23$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.361,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Lois Boisson64c322.12$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.924,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98a1…1c2ebacked Emiliana Arango33c306.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011421.9%25 W · 89 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Emiliana Arango52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Lois Boisson70c276.24$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.231,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9358…2bd9backed Emiliana Arango20c269.85$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.97714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-73%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Lois Boisson50c255.88$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.11,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Emiliana Arango12c251.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.731,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Lois Boisson76c246.99$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.721655.6%120 W · 96 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Emiliana Arango19c244.03$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3727139.1%106 W · 165 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f7…b16dbacked Lois Boisson58c232.76$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7628154.8%154 W · 127 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e5…e6adbacked Emiliana Arango9c223.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010310.7%11 W · 92 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Lois Boisson78c216$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5292674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17af…2a45backed Emiliana Arango50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf23a…df6fbacked Emiliana Arango49c199.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9851252.1%267 W · 245 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d9…b1b1backed Emiliana Arango18c194.15$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3550736.1%183 W · 324 L-0.5wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Emiliana Arango52c193$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3614357.3%82 W · 61 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Emiliana Arango19c186.77$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4939648%190 W · 206 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb804…cd66backed Emiliana Arango30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015416.2%25 W · 129 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-42.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Lois Boisson71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8584857.4%487 W · 361 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Lois Boisson71c139$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.631,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Lois Boisson70c136.95$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.981,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Lois Boisson71c122.51$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5350268.3%343 W · 159 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Emiliana Arango49c118.24$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.442,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37f1…19a0backed Emiliana Arango19c116.39$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251736.9%191 W · 326 L-39.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Emiliana Arango12c112.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2576355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Lois Boisson78c110.26$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0589663.7%571 W · 325 L+63.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ba3…1aafbacked Emiliana Arango49c110.2$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547432.4%24 W · 50 L-7.2wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda07…62a0backed Lois Boisson72c102.75$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5524858.5%145 W · 103 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Lois Boisson52c101.92$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.923,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Emiliana Arango51c100.33$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.671,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe70…7533backed Lois Boisson52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488149.4%40 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Emiliana Arango22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2233134.7%115 W · 216 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x701e…6137backed Emiliana Arango24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245932.2%19 W · 40 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fa…30cebacked Emiliana Arango19c99.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8220336.5%74 W · 129 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Lois Boisson52c98.08$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.083,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Emiliana Arango52c97.91$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5843144.8%193 W · 238 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked Lois Boisson76c95.68$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9639159.1%231 W · 160 L+28.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Emiliana Arango38c94.54$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3653736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa192…8876backed Emiliana Arango53c93.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7118543.8%81 W · 104 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Lois Boisson51c91.71$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.943,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Lois Boisson52c90$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.569047%324 W · 366 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe022…7d0fbacked Emiliana Arango16c81.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1316833.9%57 W · 111 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…0d78backed Lois Boisson72c80$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1610958.7%64 W · 45 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Emiliana Arango24c78.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.526,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Lois Boisson50c77.24$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5543553.1%231 W · 204 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Emiliana Arango53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Lois Boisson48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.563537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x110f…a7cdbacked Lois Boisson76c57.89$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.895261.5%32 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73e5…e3d8backed Emiliana Arango28c53.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533550.7%170 W · 165 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Emiliana Arango21c52.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9470254.4%382 W · 320 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Lois Boisson53c50.05$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.722,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf49…b4a5backed Lois Boisson77c46.91$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9154955.2%303 W · 246 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8806…d9f1backed Emiliana Arango47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016726.3%44 W · 123 L-18.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Lois Boisson52c42.31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3165434.9%228 W · 426 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Emiliana Arango49c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.097,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Lois Boisson49c41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.912,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Emiliana Arango34c38.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.071,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Lois Boisson79c36.72$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6160452.5%317 W · 287 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Lois Boisson70c36.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.847548%36 W · 39 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda24…7e54backed Lois Boisson63c34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.654153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5331…3672backed Lois Boisson49c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3431347.6%149 W · 164 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Lois Boisson72c31.53$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.815,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Lois Boisson74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x57b4…da40backed Emiliana Arango52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.634359.5%204 W · 139 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Emiliana Arango55c29.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4994447.7%450 W · 494 L+34.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Emiliana Arango51c28.39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4858665.5%384 W · 202 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…667dbacked Lois Boisson77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9723468.8%161 W · 73 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bad…b8a8backed Lois Boisson62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.191883.3%15 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+35%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4432…1a32backed Lois Boisson80c21.76$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4215079.3%119 W · 31 L+17.1wins+0.11per pick68cpaid+10.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xca76…d365backed Lois Boisson80c21.15$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.296298.4%61 W · 1 L+13.4wins+0.22per pick77cpaid+28.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Emiliana Arango50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1039135.8%140 W · 251 L-0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf2b…2cd8backed Emiliana Arango50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023761.6%146 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Lois Boisson80c16.85$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.371,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed Lois Boisson68c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8733754%182 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.