TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ITF Sao Paulo: Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalezof Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez, Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,446
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,698

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,446 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon47c11,401$5,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,392.2211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.9910358.3%60 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc07d…b1dfbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez63c4,934$3,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.122,38355.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L+49.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez49c4,840$2,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,466.184,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez44c2,750$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.52,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon60c1,695$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.8528039.3%110 W · 170 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez76c1,505$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.921,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon50c1,292$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.894,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez67c1,077$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.291,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon42c799.24$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.038,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez42c684.7$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.7135955.7%200 W · 159 L+20.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez45c585$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.752965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+32.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon79c553.82$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.741,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4087…048bbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez48c511$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.688751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon41c417.45$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.8165942.2%278 W · 381 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe302…a986backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez46c299.99$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.1619841.9%83 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon42c238.82$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.293,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez36c229.75$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.762,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec3…e330backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon46c221.89$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8743347.3%205 W · 228 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon45c210.82$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7742930.5%131 W · 298 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon11c206$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.664,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez23c199$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.0733751.9%175 W · 162 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x701c…b953backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez52c182$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.367946.8%37 W · 42 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+18.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon55c180$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.352,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82a1…e38bbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez45c171.2$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.166759.7%40 W · 27 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon33c171.13$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.291,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xca00…848dbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.934372.1%31 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16c6…19e2backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez52c160$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.89452.1%49 W · 45 L+11.5wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x67a1…1c91backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon65c153.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020360.1%122 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe846…252bbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez33c149$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8313438.8%52 W · 82 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon64c141.43$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.161,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon26c136.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.876,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon24c135.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3922651.8%117 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79e9…80b1backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon25c130$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.233228.3%94 W · 238 L-12.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon77c129.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10078857.1%450 W · 338 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon12c117.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.665,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25f7…b16dbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6528154.8%154 W · 127 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez18c98.65$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8919411.9%23 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez39c94.38$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5773648.1%354 W · 382 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez18c88.54$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.689859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon60c79.83$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.223,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cdd…db30backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez40c76.55$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9318724.6%46 W · 141 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon58c75.88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.136,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez55c70.91$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.911,41745.2%640 W · 777 L+41.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez70c63$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.932031.3%100 W · 220 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon80c62.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5092355.8%515 W · 408 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon80c62.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5087854.7%480 W · 398 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon80c62.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5094255.8%526 W · 416 L+19.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…3abfbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez18c61.11$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1126734.1%91 W · 176 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x273d…fb63backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon65c57.81$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8214355.2%79 W · 64 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47e5…aa2bbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez36c44.38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez50c42.27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0542350.8%215 W · 208 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8845…360ebacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611838.1%45 W · 73 L-10.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3016…9ffdbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez52c39.49$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.966621.2%14 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon80c37.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3092554.8%507 W · 418 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon46c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.11,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c0…22ebbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez54c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.140527.2%110 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafae…ca54backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez60c32.25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1233…444abacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez60c32.25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.92544%11 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x074c…771cbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez49c31.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.19361.3%57 W · 36 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc04c…cebfbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez63c28.61$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7167178.7%528 W · 143 L+49.1wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8a9…3579backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez38c27.85$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.134637%17 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez62c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.51,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez51c22.24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.946,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez55c22.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.031,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez61c20.66$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0644229.6%131 W · 311 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4738…e64abacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez71c20.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9711853.4%63 W · 55 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b36ebacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez58c20.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4850946.6%237 W · 272 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.31,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb37…189abacked Lucciana Perez Alarcon50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021451.9%111 W · 103 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x061a…5a89backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.652157%297 W · 224 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez53c19.78$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.32,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc62f…1781backed Lucciana Perez Alarcon64c16.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6626664.7%172 W · 94 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.