Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Maria Kalyakina vs Dabin Kim
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ae7037035b8726d5e1f797e98dd3a63be82f69bf46f9eb5d1bf67ff4f4688e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dabin Kimof Maria Kalyakina, Dabin Kim
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Maria Kalyakina | 51c | 5,209$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 488 | 55.9%273 W · 215 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Maria Kalyakina | 10c | 3,795$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.94 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Dabin Kim | 62c | 2,530$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.25 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Maria Kalyakina | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 221 | 52%115 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Dabin Kim | 65c | 1,340$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.26 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Dabin Kim | 53c | 1,248$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.18 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dabin Kim | 63c | 820.8$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.37 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Maria Kalyakina | 23c | 774$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.02 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Dabin Kim | 68c | 773.3$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Maria Kalyakina | 45c | 735.71$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.07 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1dd…fb67backed Maria Kalyakina | 47c | 604.89$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.3 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Dabin Kim | 41c | 599.98$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Dabin Kim | 49c | 551.59$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.8 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dabin Kim | 56c | 538.01$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.37 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Maria Kalyakina | 19c | 521.05$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 149 | 21.5%32 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Dabin Kim | 72c | 470$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.68 | 369 | 54.2%200 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Maria Kalyakina | 39c | 456.77$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.83 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Dabin Kim | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Maria Kalyakina | 44c | 344.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dabin Kim | 67c | 336.67$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.67 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Maria Kalyakina | 45c | 308$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Maria Kalyakina | 28c | 269.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Maria Kalyakina | 45c | 266.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Dabin Kim | 63c | 254.63$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.23 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Maria Kalyakina | 44c | 252.36$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 243 | 44%107 W · 136 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Dabin Kim | 46c | 199.06$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.58 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a76…29dcbacked Maria Kalyakina | 59c | 195.75$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.49 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dabin Kim | 43c | 193.98$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.57 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Dabin Kim | 58c | 187.19$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.37 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Dabin Kim | 77c | 160.02$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Maria Kalyakina | 29c | 156.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e14…5169backed Maria Kalyakina | 57c | 153.26$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.46 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Maria Kalyakina | 53c | 137.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Dabin Kim | 37c | 132.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Maria Kalyakina | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…df87backed Maria Kalyakina | 40c | 116.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Dabin Kim | 50c | 114.97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Maria Kalyakina | 41c | 111.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Maria Kalyakina | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Maria Kalyakina | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Maria Kalyakina | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Maria Kalyakina | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Maria Kalyakina | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Dabin Kim | 64c | 109.37$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…b706backed Maria Kalyakina | 51c | 106.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Maria Kalyakina | 10c | 105$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Maria Kalyakina | 50c | 100.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Dabin Kim | 53c | 91.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Dabin Kim | 66c | 91.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 464 | 35.3%164 W · 300 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maria Kalyakina | 27c | 87.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Maria Kalyakina | 61c | 85.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Maria Kalyakina | 44c | 84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Maria Kalyakina | 79c | 83.63$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 215 | 72.6%156 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…8d8dbacked Maria Kalyakina | 58c | 82.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Maria Kalyakina | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Maria Kalyakina | 44c | 63.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…a7b6backed Maria Kalyakina | 61c | 53.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…2ed6backed Maria Kalyakina | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -6.2wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d45…1c86backed Maria Kalyakina | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Dabin Kim | 21c | 48.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Maria Kalyakina | 40c | 48.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Maria Kalyakina | 26c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Maria Kalyakina | 46c | 42.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Maria Kalyakina | 25c | 42.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e1…98dbbacked Dabin Kim | 70c | 40.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Dabin Kim | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3172…7520backed Maria Kalyakina | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe75…5af2backed Dabin Kim | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +12.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +34%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1367…9a3abacked Dabin Kim | 58c | 36.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Maria Kalyakina | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed Maria Kalyakina | 59c | 35.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Dabin Kim | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Dabin Kim | 59c | 27.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Dabin Kim | 65c | 26.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Dabin Kim | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Dabin Kim | 66c | 23.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Maria Kalyakina | 45c | 23.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.