TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,912
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,936

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,912 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Under43c15,883$6,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,995.4711,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Over52c15,000$7,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,735.4548451%247 W · 237 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under47c13,956$6,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,370.664,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Over54c13,127$7,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,057.5144851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Over51c10,778$5,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,496.9511849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c10,580$5,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,573.5912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under46c10,097$4,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,452.1332152%167 W · 154 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under47c7,777$3,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,121.7947953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c5,365$2,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,788.428,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over67c4,966$3,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,327.271,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over53c3,438$1,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,821.944,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over54c2,998$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,618.8291252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed Over55c2,900$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5953655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under49c2,324$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.243,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under49c1,808$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.062,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over59c1,686$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.34,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c1,270$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.756,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over54c1,111$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9917546.9%82 W · 93 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over51c1,063$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.1368053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under51c999.94$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.9775248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over45c971$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.9525249.2%124 W · 128 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under49c839.99$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.392,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under48c800$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.882,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under49c781.6$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.621,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over67c764.22$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.031,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over68c588.24$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020456.9%116 W · 88 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over43c559.44$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.978,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over52c430.32$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.775,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20069351.9%360 W · 333 L+26.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over59c395$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.295,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under34c326.84$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.7410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Over54c296.29$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16094549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Over52c281$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1228943.3%125 W · 164 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over50c273.76$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6892046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b92…7c8fbacked Over53c243.92$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.067058.6%41 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ac…0e0bbacked Over57c222.24$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.7911951.3%61 W · 58 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under48c210$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.21,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over52c192.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038252.1%199 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over53c192.45$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037256.5%210 W · 162 L+1.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Under47c188.68$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10029147.1%137 W · 154 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ae…55f8backed Under46c175.12$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.129751.5%50 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under49c160$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.68,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Under47c159.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.576857.4%39 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Over69c155.07$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10713255.3%73 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under39c153.04$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2654715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over67c135.06$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.743,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under47c129.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.392,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Over62c128.97$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9643560%261 W · 174 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over49c119.75$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.111,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over44c106.84$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.611,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…2b92backed Over68c102.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.816947.8%33 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016251.9%84 W · 78 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Over68c97$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9617659.7%105 W · 71 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6158…81bcbacked Over50c96.37$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.195541.8%23 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5587…5737backed Over52c95.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509951.5%51 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e6f…cb64backed Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508251.2%42 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Under48c85$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.235849.4%177 W · 181 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over52c83.66$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1587352.7%460 W · 413 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8a…a117backed Over68c73.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.981553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over53c70$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.177050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5965…d26dbacked Over55c65.88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0816450.6%83 W · 81 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3062554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under49c57$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.212,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under47c53.85$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.543,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over51c53.36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.229,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Over51c53.14$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.131258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Under65c50.77$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.775137.3%19 W · 32 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under47c49.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.52,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Over46c49.36$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7453644.6%239 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Over49c48.24$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6444345.6%202 W · 241 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda8a…2dbabacked Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254959.2%29 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over50c46.8$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.467453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under35c45.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.945,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over49c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5899447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b07…5f54backed Under51c41.24$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.216546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.21,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e08…c1efbacked Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Under46c32.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4742448.1%204 W · 220 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over55c31.34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.12,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7b2…6a58backed Over51c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8112753.5%68 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Over47c30.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1427652.9%146 W · 130 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa31a…d023backed Under44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.88744.8%39 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34cf…6659backed Under51c29.92$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.663938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x506e…e41bbacked Under51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09a6…252abacked Over50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.59359.1%55 W · 38 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a84…c4fcbacked Over68c24.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.642962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…30febacked Under51c22.65$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.12540%10 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa58…63b4backed Over53c22.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over53c22.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.921,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Over53c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6650748.7%247 W · 260 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over50c20.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.161,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbe0…05b5backed Under51c20.22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.911118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.32per pick51cpaid-63.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa97c…14edbacked Under51c20.12$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.862339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd56d…4928backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…7b57backed Over51c19.61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43a8…d77fbacked Over68c18.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6514259.2%84 W · 58 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef2c…be40backed Over56c17.96$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.15048%24 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Over68c17.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0520852.9%110 W · 98 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over63c17.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.964,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.