MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cabc19460d6d8c09c7b4b8180a7855dcae2e9c006d6ea85ec580da3c6b45fcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 43c | 15,883$6,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,995.47 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 52c | 15,000$7,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,735.45 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 47c | 13,956$6,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,370.66 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 54c | 13,127$7,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,057.51 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Over | 51c | 10,778$5,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,496.95 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 10,580$5,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,573.59 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 46c | 10,097$4,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,452.13 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 47c | 7,777$3,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,121.79 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 5,365$2,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,788.42 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 67c | 4,966$3,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,327.27 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 53c | 3,438$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.94 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 54c | 2,998$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.82 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed Over | 55c | 2,900$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 49c | 2,324$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.24 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 49c | 1,808$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.06 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 59c | 1,686$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.3 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 1,270$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.75 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 51c | 1,063$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.13 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 51c | 999.94$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.97 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Over | 45c | 971$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.95 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 49c | 839.99$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.39 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 48c | 800$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.88 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 49c | 781.6$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.62 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 67c | 764.22$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.03 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 43c | 559.44$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.97 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 430.32$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.77 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 59c | 395$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.29 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 34c | 326.84$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.74 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 54c | 296.29$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 52c | 281$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.12 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 50c | 273.76$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.68 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…7c8fbacked Over | 53c | 243.92$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.06 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Over | 57c | 222.24$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.79 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 52c | 192.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 53c | 192.45$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 47c | 188.68$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Under | 46c | 175.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Under | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Over | 69c | 155.07$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 39c | 153.04$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.26 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 67c | 135.06$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.74 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 47c | 129.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.39 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 62c | 128.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 49c | 119.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 44c | 106.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…2b92backed Over | 68c | 102.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over | 68c | 97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Over | 50c | 96.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…5737backed Over | 52c | 95.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…cb64backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Under | 48c | 85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 52c | 83.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Over | 68c | 73.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…d26dbacked Over | 55c | 65.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 49c | 57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 47c | 53.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 51c | 53.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 51c | 53.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Under | 65c | 50.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 46c | 49.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Over | 49c | 48.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 443 | 45.6%202 W · 241 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 50c | 46.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 35c | 45.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 49c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…5f54backed Under | 51c | 41.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e08…c1efbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Under | 46c | 32.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 55c | 31.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Over | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Over | 47c | 30.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 276 | 52.9%146 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…6659backed Under | 51c | 29.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x506e…e41bbacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…252abacked Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…c4fcbacked Over | 68c | 24.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…30febacked Under | 51c | 22.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa58…63b4backed Over | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 53c | 22.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 50c | 20.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe0…05b5backed Under | 51c | 20.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.32per pick | 51cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa97c…14edbacked Under | 51c | 20.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…4928backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…7b57backed Over | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…d77fbacked Over | 68c | 18.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 142 | 59.2%84 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2c…be40backed Over | 56c | 17.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 68c | 17.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 208 | 52.9%110 W · 98 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 63c | 17.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago CubsColorado Rockies won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.