Tennis · resolved market
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Ilinca Amariei vs Weronika Ewald
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d92ade5d55c26525b759e1b62cf92da4ad3c938eda5e618f44d0db93da7a0ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Weronika Ewaldof Ilinca Amariei, Weronika Ewald
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Weronika Ewald | 41c | 10,000$4,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,906.94 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa107…e6a1backed Weronika Ewald | 61c | 5,676$3,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.89 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc293…fac3backed Weronika Ewald | 56c | 5,390$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,389.76 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ilinca Amariei | 36c | 4,330$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.08 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Weronika Ewald | 74c | 3,065$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.61 | 485 | 55.9%271 W · 214 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ilinca Amariei | 59c | 2,822$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.98 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ilinca Amariei | 42c | 2,688$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.84 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Ilinca Amariei | 43c | 1,686$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.98 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ilinca Amariei | 44c | 1,594$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.74 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Ilinca Amariei | 42c | 1,429$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,842 | 44.8%825 W · 1,017 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Ilinca Amariei | 45c | 1,254$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.15 | 737 | 38.8%286 W · 451 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Weronika Ewald | 70c | 1,253$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.98 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5850…fdd9backed Weronika Ewald | 52c | 1,057$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.95 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Ilinca Amariei | 59c | 1,032$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.26 | 411 | 31.9%131 W · 280 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Ilinca Amariei | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 557 | 53.7%299 W · 258 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Weronika Ewald | 52c | 992.09$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.4 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Ilinca Amariei | 48c | 855.61$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.98 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed Ilinca Amariei | 42c | 647.55$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.81 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Weronika Ewald | 60c | 600.01$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.81 | 1,545 | 51.5%795 W · 750 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Ilinca Amariei | 31c | 543$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.74 | 1,806 | 40.9%739 W · 1,067 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ab…e8f6backed Ilinca Amariei | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Ilinca Amariei | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Weronika Ewald | 54c | 399.74$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.88 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Ilinca Amariei | 45c | 381.08$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.96 | 597 | 38.2%228 W · 369 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Ilinca Amariei | 42c | 343.19$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.14 | 1,844 | 45.7%843 W · 1,001 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Weronika Ewald | 61c | 300$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.2 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Weronika Ewald | 61c | 290$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582c…3266backed Weronika Ewald | 59c | 285.93$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.93 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Weronika Ewald | 61c | 254.45$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.35 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Weronika Ewald | 61c | 235.42$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.9 | 221 | 50.7%112 W · 109 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b1…51b8backed Weronika Ewald | 58c | 228.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.52 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ilinca Amariei | 36c | 220.45$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.49 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…02e8backed Ilinca Amariei | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…a282backed Weronika Ewald | 60c | 182.26$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Ilinca Amariei | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 272 | 56.3%153 W · 119 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Weronika Ewald | 67c | 146$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 1,073 | 60.4%648 W · 425 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Weronika Ewald | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,657 | 44.2%733 W · 924 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b3…966bbacked Weronika Ewald | 57c | 114.61$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Weronika Ewald | 52c | 107.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 1,634 | 50%817 W · 817 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ilinca Amariei | 41c | 98.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0868…efe8backed Weronika Ewald | 59c | 96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Ilinca Amariei | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Ilinca Amariei | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 941 | 49.5%466 W · 475 L | +17.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Weronika Ewald | 58c | 86.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 150 | 28.7%43 W · 107 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Ilinca Amariei | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 930 | 55.9%520 W · 410 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ilinca Amariei | 35c | 71.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Ilinca Amariei | 34c | 59.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 421 | 30.2%127 W · 294 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Weronika Ewald | 53c | 58.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…f9e0backed Ilinca Amariei | 43c | 56.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Ilinca Amariei | 46c | 55.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e13…73e1backed Ilinca Amariei | 48c | 55.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Ilinca Amariei | 59c | 52.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 892 | 63.8%569 W · 323 L | +62.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…cb91backed Weronika Ewald | 61c | 51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Ilinca Amariei | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 805 | 58.6%472 W · 333 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Weronika Ewald | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Ilinca Amariei | 55c | 46.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Weronika Ewald | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 787 | 57.1%449 W · 338 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Ilinca Amariei | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Ilinca Amariei | 46c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 677 | 45.6%309 W · 368 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Weronika Ewald | 47c | 43.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Ilinca Amariei | 29c | 42.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Weronika Ewald | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 2,575 | 46.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…2f66backed Weronika Ewald | 64c | 38.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ilinca Amariei | 33c | 37.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Ilinca Amariei | 64c | 33.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Weronika Ewald | 71c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 382 | 57.6%220 W · 162 L | +19.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Weronika Ewald | 36c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Weronika Ewald | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…1ddfbacked Ilinca Amariei | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Weronika Ewald | 58c | 21.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 156 | 32.1%50 W · 106 L | +16.0wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Weronika Ewald | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 876 | 34.5%302 W · 574 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Weronika Ewald | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 576 | 45.7%263 W · 313 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Ilinca Amariei | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 250 | 48.4%121 W · 129 L | +22.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Ilinca Amariei vs Weronika Ewaldthis page
- ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Completed Match: Ilinca Amariei vs Weronika EwaldYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.