Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on April 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fb5a10e735ae2f94914f6247b0489080a5cb3187f55664e294afe278ed9cb7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,606$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.26 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 33c | 696.82$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.34 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 35c | 390.11$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.61 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 77c | 367.13$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.03 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 29c | 300.16$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 32c | 299.32$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.37 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e3…a50cbacked Yes | 28c | 227.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 214 | 36%77 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 16c | 213.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 75c | 195.28$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 33c | 194.76$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.1 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked No | 57c | 173.19$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 9c | 147.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 20c | 143.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 78c | 140.06$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b9…b865backed Yes | 28c | 132.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -68%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed No | 78c | 124.3$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 18c | 123.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 23c | 115.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…b076backed Yes | 36c | 112.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 208 | 35.6%74 W · 134 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…f315backed Yes | 29c | 112.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 139 | 30.2%42 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 19c | 111.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…77a7backed Yes | 26c | 107.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 71c | 96.22$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 64c | 91.56$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 21c | 90.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 468 | 24.4%114 W · 354 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked Yes | 26c | 88.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed Yes | 21c | 86.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 555 | 38.4%213 W · 342 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 40c | 83.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed No | 80c | 83.1$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…eadabacked No | 79c | 83$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 165 | 75.8%125 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed Yes | 27c | 82.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 16c | 82.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 22c | 78.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 36c | 77.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 38c | 74.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 67c | 70.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 71c | 67.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x726c…e6f0backed No | 61c | 65.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 76c | 64.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…8a41backed Yes | 25c | 61.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…14ccbacked No | 72c | 54.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 414 | 60.1%249 W · 165 L | -21.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 76c | 52.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 23c | 51.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 25c | 51.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 50.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 74c | 49.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c6…40babacked No | 59c | 48.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed Yes | 47c | 47.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 26c | 45.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…695fbacked No | 76c | 42.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…0866backed No | 78c | 40.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 75cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 36c | 39.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea1…d176backed No | 65c | 37.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c1…51f6backed Yes | 41c | 35.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 70c | 34.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7515…0f90backed No | 66c | 33.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5c…1d38backed No | 77c | 31.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed Yes | 33c | 31.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 78c | 31.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…e7c2backed No | 66c | 29.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…6063backed Yes | 39c | 28.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…ef70backed No | 54c | 26.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…7227backed No | 76c | 25.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 97 | 79.4%77 W · 20 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 63c | 23.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 60c | 22.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 73c | 21.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x131d…2a50backed No | 77c | 21.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -15.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xef45…8a4dbacked No | 79c | 21.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…c08ebacked No | 57c | 20.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 570 | 38.1%217 W · 353 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8171…66a5backed No | 71c | 19.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…9b20backed No | 78c | 18.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecb…e234backed No | 67c | 18.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…bc77backed No | 80c | 18.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…2b6bbacked No | 68c | 17.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 130 | 81.5%106 W · 24 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…fb11backed No | 76c | 16.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 74c | 16.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2598…17dfbacked No | 69c | 16.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c3…4613backed No | 73c | 15.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 77 | 77.9%60 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 70c | 15.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd72d…9e9ebacked No | 75c | 15.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 39 | 87.2%34 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…7b70backed No | 75c | 15.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 77c | 14.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on April 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 59°F or below on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on April 6?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on April 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.