MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fec1bdec4e2532ccabbc266cf1b7dc096fd6fdfa8dd4ad62283027378fbfe72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Atlanta Braves, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves | 31c | 26,297$8,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,277.47 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 69c | 18,778$12,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,872.29 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 67c | 9,132$6,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,031.63 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington Nationals | 68c | 7,828$5,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.31 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Atlanta Braves | 31c | 7,808$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.64 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 68c | 3,463$2,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.5 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 2,304$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.76 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 1,840$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.82 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 1,257$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.52 | 267 | 62.2%166 W · 101 L | +43.9wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +58%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Atlanta Braves | 30c | 1,126$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.39 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 1,055$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.96 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Washington Nationals | 73c | 732.14$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.48 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 505.4$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.57 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Atlanta Braves | 32c | 497.16$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.91 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Nationals | 70c | 321.42$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.43 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Washington Nationals | 71c | 278.59$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.79 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Washington Nationals | 58c | 270.69$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.69 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b22…9431backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 233$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.86 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…bc1cbacked Atlanta Braves | 22c | 159.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 143.43$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Washington Nationals | 70c | 141.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Washington Nationals | 70c | 137.97$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Washington Nationals | 70c | 96.09$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…4716backed Washington Nationals | 69c | 92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Washington Nationals | 64c | 81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Washington Nationals | 73c | 76.45$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 22c | 75.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Washington Nationals | 67c | 74.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Washington Nationals | 74c | 72.08$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 70.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Braves | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…b6ffbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 65.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +9.4wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Atlanta Braves | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Washington Nationals | 71c | 59.15$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Atlanta Braves | 32c | 55.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Atlanta Braves | 33c | 54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Atlanta Braves | 32c | 50.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Washington Nationals | 69c | 50.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4879…db19backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Atlanta Braves | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Atlanta Braves | 30c | 38.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Atlanta Braves | 30c | 34.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…e253backed Washington Nationals | 62c | 33.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Atlanta Braves | 33c | 29.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6c…f3eabacked Washington Nationals | 58c | 29.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Washington Nationals | 69c | 28.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201e…1a3bbacked Washington Nationals | 72c | 27.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…cc57backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 27.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 25.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 24.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 23.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…fa96backed Washington Nationals | 70c | 22.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Washington Nationals | 68c | 20.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed Washington Nationals | 69c | 19.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Washington Nationals | 69c | 14.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.