Tennis · resolved market
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90b41511e210234c0e5f1d4baaf6510033813df4e698347ce850d1dcdbff9c10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jesper de Jongof Jesper de Jong, Marco Cecchinato
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Marco Cecchinato | 18c | 13,701$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.67 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5d…80a3backed Jesper de Jong | 63c | 3,016$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.87 | 249 | 61.4%153 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Jesper de Jong | 76c | 2,343$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.23 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Marco Cecchinato | 28c | 2,131$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.6 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Jesper de Jong | 77c | 1,557$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.33 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Marco Cecchinato | 4c | 1,001$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Marco Cecchinato | 26c | 892.9$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.09 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Marco Cecchinato | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.52 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Jesper de Jong | 72c | 406.51$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.82 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Jesper de Jong | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Marco Cecchinato | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…b9febacked Marco Cecchinato | 5c | 365.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 320 | 8.8%28 W · 292 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Marco Cecchinato | 17c | 351.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Marco Cecchinato | 42c | 324$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.71 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Marco Cecchinato | 29c | 321.23$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Marco Cecchinato | 21c | 280.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Jesper de Jong | 74c | 266.66$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…7623backed Jesper de Jong | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 249 | 75.5%188 W · 61 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Marco Cecchinato | 26c | 192.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b79…e1e8backed Jesper de Jong | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Jesper de Jong | 78c | 163.98$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Jesper de Jong | 73c | 139.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Jesper de Jong | 73c | 136.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Marco Cecchinato | 19c | 135.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Marco Cecchinato | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Marco Cecchinato | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…d7f6backed Jesper de Jong | 74c | 114.86$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Jesper de Jong | 72c | 100.31$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Marco Cecchinato | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…e020backed Jesper de Jong | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 347 | 61.1%212 W · 135 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Jesper de Jong | 72c | 91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Jesper de Jong | 75c | 89.36$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Jesper de Jong | 74c | 86.18$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 362 | 64.6%234 W · 128 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…70a8backed Jesper de Jong | 73c | 85.79$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…3abfbacked Marco Cecchinato | 27c | 80.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 267 | 34.1%91 W · 176 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Jesper de Jong | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Marco Cecchinato | 31c | 70.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Jesper de Jong | 76c | 68.62$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Jesper de Jong | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Jesper de Jong | 72c | 66.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…68ffbacked Jesper de Jong | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5920…2f2abacked Marco Cecchinato | 24c | 65.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Marco Cecchinato | 19c | 60.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Marco Cecchinato | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…6e0abacked Marco Cecchinato | 33c | 59.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Jesper de Jong | 73c | 57.61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…ca21backed Marco Cecchinato | 28c | 57.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Marco Cecchinato | 27c | 56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Marco Cecchinato | 28c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jesper de Jong | 74c | 52.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Jesper de Jong | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…cdb9backed Jesper de Jong | 73c | 47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 79 | 81%64 W · 15 L | +15.0wins | +0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Marco Cecchinato | 25c | 40.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Jesper de Jong | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…b743backed Jesper de Jong | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bb6cbacked Marco Cecchinato | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Marco Cecchinato | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed Jesper de Jong | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 350 | 60.9%213 W · 137 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Marco Cecchinato | 31c | 34.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Jesper de Jong | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Jesper de Jong | 70c | 29.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 222 | 55.4%123 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…8f17backed Jesper de Jong | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Jesper de Jong | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…3031backed Jesper de Jong | 77c | 20.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 336 | 73.2%246 W · 90 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Jesper de Jong | 79c | 18.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Jesper de Jong | 65c | 18.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…5821backed Jesper de Jong | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683b…c863backed Jesper de Jong | 74c | 14.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.