Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on April 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92fafdc1331ab69c06eded6e1951cefbedbf6acc2290666f431ac76d348f6bf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 78c | 1,098$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.53 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…45b3backed Yes | 5c | 901.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 12c | 493.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30bd…cecabacked Yes | 53c | 382.75$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.66 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 13c | 366.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 39c | 365.66$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.77 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…1c11backed No | 14c | 342.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.67 | 661 | 44.5%294 W · 367 L | +57.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 18c | 337.05$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.12 | 633 | 23.9%151 W · 482 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 57c | 306.31$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.97 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…ead7backed Yes | 30c | 305.41$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.05 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed6…6a8dbacked Yes | 43c | 291.18$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked Yes | 10c | 281.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 183 | 27.3%50 W · 133 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 51c | 263.66$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.72 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8a…9d7bbacked No | 47c | 209.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.1 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…a5fabacked No | 13c | 186.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.6 | 190 | 59.5%113 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…1fe9backed Yes | 6c | 170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f16…063dbacked Yes | 36c | 169.18$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ef…e590backed Yes | 8c | 164.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…faeabacked No | 46c | 157.97$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.39 | 311 | 70.7%220 W · 91 L | +42.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Yes | 63c | 149.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 379 | 42.5%161 W · 218 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 33c | 146.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.48 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 73c | 144.94$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked No | 51c | 143.84$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.9 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd38…ddadbacked No | 61c | 140.84$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x322a…096fbacked No | 18c | 124.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.63 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…abbabacked Yes | 47c | 119.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.27 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…352dbacked Yes | 17c | 118.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1c…e255backed No | 72c | 113.37$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…c493backed No | 34c | 110.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…2aa5backed Yes | 71c | 107.57$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.87 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…c51dbacked No | 68c | 103.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x407e…5bf0backed No | 16c | 95.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.34 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 42c | 94.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 23c | 89.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.24 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 46c | 85.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Yes | 60c | 84.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312f…913cbacked No | 39c | 74.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked Yes | 74c | 70.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked No | 30c | 67.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…9c69backed No | 19c | 65.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 46c | 65.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…5c3cbacked Yes | 24c | 63.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 310 | 62.6%194 W · 116 L | +38.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed No | 17c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…df3ebacked Yes | 40c | 58.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3eb…4af7backed No | 21c | 55.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 68c | 54.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…1e7bbacked Yes | 72c | 54.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 92 | 70.7%65 W · 27 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee7a…b68dbacked No | 44c | 53.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6147backed Yes | 49c | 50.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 525 | 33.7%177 W · 348 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e3…f004backed Yes | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked Yes | 80c | 49.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 62c | 49.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…9f18backed Yes | 69c | 49.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 65c | 47.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 407 | 39.3%160 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…b076backed Yes | 47c | 46.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 208 | 35.6%74 W · 134 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaafc…ec67backed No | 45c | 41.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 447 | 57.3%256 W · 191 L | +53.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…1701backed Yes | 36c | 41.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 351 | 33.6%118 W · 233 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…4d70backed Yes | 79c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 84 | 66.7%56 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…c08ebacked No | 49c | 39.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 570 | 38.1%217 W · 353 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 54c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…652abacked No | 46c | 37.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65df…6144backed Yes | 69c | 36.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…5c75backed Yes | 56c | 36.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 160 | 30%48 W · 112 L | -15.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf694…24e3backed Yes | 56c | 36.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…1e02backed Yes | 56c | 36.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 222 | 65.8%146 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe88…e756backed Yes | 48c | 34.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c71…431fbacked No | 50c | 34.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed No | 47c | 33.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…87a1backed No | 45c | 31.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 66c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…c659backed Yes | 80c | 30.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…18e2backed No | 50c | 29.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +26.2wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 38c | 29.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1c…43cabacked Yes | 46c | 26.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe45…fd22backed No | 74c | 19.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa456…6d13backed Yes | 55c | 19.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed Yes | 78c | 19.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 59c | 18.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…ad2cbacked Yes | 68c | 17.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on April 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on April 26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.