TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Murcia: Jesper de Jong vs Max Houkes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jesper de Jongof Jesper de Jong, Max Houkes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,971

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,971 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x85d7…0501backed Jesper de Jong78c25,024$19,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,505.563073.3%22 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Max Houkes21c17,721$3,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,704.772,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Max Houkes18c8,061$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.156,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Max Houkes23c7,910$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.897,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Max Houkes16c6,823$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.52,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Max Houkes6c3,069$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.848,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked Jesper de Jong75c2,933$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.3320155.7%112 W · 89 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Jesper de Jong75c2,700$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67566949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed Jesper de Jong76c2,497$1,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.341681.3%13 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick70cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a84…e271backed Jesper de Jong75c2,425$1,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.3113959%82 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a73…e1adbacked Max Houkes3c2,283$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2615826.6%42 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jesper de Jong75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Max Houkes25c2,000$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49446932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Max Houkes24c1,647$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.761,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20c1…df04backed Max Houkes27c1,464$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.6518439.1%72 W · 112 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Max Houkes26c1,463$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.6620336%73 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Jesper de Jong74c1,348$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.7546473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3697…e574backed Jesper de Jong76c1,320$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.87252.8%38 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Max Houkes24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7cc…b660backed Max Houkes7c999.94$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.997017.1%12 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Jesper de Jong77c863.84$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.5568350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Max Houkes26c823.02$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.581,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Jesper de Jong80c748.22$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.342558.8%250 W · 175 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ac…fed6backed Max Houkes10c640$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648143.2%35 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Max Houkes23c610.43$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.747,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Max Houkes10c580.04$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.53,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e0e…b2ddbacked Jesper de Jong76c526.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3210100%10 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Max Houkes13c457.95$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Max Houkes18c410.18$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Max Houkes23c390.57$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.779,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Max Houkes22c340.71$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Max Houkes10c339.92$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5984736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Max Houkes25c314.9$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8036038.9%140 W · 220 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Jesper de Jong79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6372542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Max Houkes23c284.42$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.484,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Max Houkes26c271.39$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.247,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Jesper de Jong74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.272,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7c…db55backed Max Houkes23c263$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.41933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-44.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Max Houkes29c249.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.53,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Max Houkes26c198.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7454434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Max Houkes24c194$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.567427%20 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Max Houkes23c189.09$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4550731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Max Houkes24c173.23$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.617933%59 W · 120 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf709…c75cbacked Jesper de Jong78c156.53$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.443470.6%24 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Max Houkes25c150$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.51,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Jesper de Jong71c137$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7348552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Jesper de Jong74c135$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.138268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jesper de Jong75c134.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1648043.3%208 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Jesper de Jong75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3084968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Max Houkes26c109.96$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0414746.3%68 W · 79 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Jesper de Jong72c106$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5630844.5%137 W · 171 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Jesper de Jong75c93.87$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8739872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14af…887ebacked Jesper de Jong76c91.05$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.231872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+2.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Max Houkes22c90.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.793,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Max Houkes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dfe…5b91backed Jesper de Jong78c76.87$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.87666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a4d…71c6backed Jesper de Jong73c70$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.97859%46 W · 32 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Jesper de Jong75c67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7553457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Jesper de Jong71c64.22$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6229952.2%156 W · 143 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf884…0364backed Jesper de Jong78c64.01$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.011190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.22per pick69cpaid+33.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8bf…997dbacked Jesper de Jong78c63.28$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.921070%7 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Max Houkes21c61.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.932,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f65…c1d0backed Jesper de Jong75c47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7530349.8%151 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Max Houkes23c43.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.170148.2%338 W · 363 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Max Houkes26c41.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.881,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98eb…60f0backed Jesper de Jong74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5428147.3%133 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e7…a447backed Jesper de Jong79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.974560%27 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7307…7d23backed Jesper de Jong78c30.62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.743863.2%24 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a57…913fbacked Jesper de Jong72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.412361.8%76 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Jesper de Jong73c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8389859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce4…5f86backed Jesper de Jong73c28.79$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.793964.1%25 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa366…0c35backed Jesper de Jong71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.175669.6%39 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick69cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a9…a428backed Jesper de Jong76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.324669.6%32 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff8…67e2backed Jesper de Jong75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef0…d45bbacked Jesper de Jong78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.421259.4%126 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4378…5bb8backed Jesper de Jong75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510363.1%65 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Jesper de Jong77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.481,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…f401backed Jesper de Jong77c15.19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.49728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-57.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Jesper de Jong78c14.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.2638460.4%232 W · 152 L+29.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Jesper de Jong78c13.22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.9112958.1%75 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x077c…33febacked Jesper de Jong76c13.16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.161060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.