Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x944e8cf1fc520480222eac07695cf6d230580b4db3ec91b6af9e5e6e3fa1e55e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof LGD Gaming, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 34c | 40,816$14,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,024.62 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked LGD Gaming | 61c | 15,961$9,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,274.22 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked PlayTime | 35c | 11,627$4,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,065.32 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed PlayTime | 40c | 10,331$4,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,122.47 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed LGD Gaming | 60c | 10,001$6,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000.41 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed LGD Gaming | 74c | 6,877$5,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.01 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed LGD Gaming | 60c | 5,028$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.21 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…74a7backed PlayTime | 49c | 4,038$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 3,419$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.56 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed PlayTime | 43c | 2,286$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.35 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed LGD Gaming | 60c | 2,237$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.27 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed LGD Gaming | 69c | 2,022$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.59 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed LGD Gaming | 65c | 1,959$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.05 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked LGD Gaming | 59c | 1,946$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.02 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed LGD Gaming | 73c | 1,803$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.07 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed LGD Gaming | 68c | 1,695$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.38 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked LGD Gaming | 55c | 1,460$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed LGD Gaming | 59c | 1,407$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.03 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked LGD Gaming | 68c | 1,141$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.9 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8224…7384backed PlayTime | 28c | 1,080$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed LGD Gaming | 60c | 1,071$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.8 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed PlayTime | 20c | 999.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed PlayTime | 41c | 960.79$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PlayTime | 35c | 959.98$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.99 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LGD Gaming | 68c | 886.92$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.22 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed LGD Gaming | 61c | 849.99$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.5 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked LGD Gaming | 61c | 849.98$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.49 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked PlayTime | 32c | 828.73$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.68 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed LGD Gaming | 78c | 750$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked LGD Gaming | 66c | 749.98$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.99 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed LGD Gaming | 62c | 730.94$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.14 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed LGD Gaming | 65c | 687.58$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.9 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed PlayTime | 30c | 677$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.3 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked LGD Gaming | 67c | 672.76$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.01 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed LGD Gaming | 68c | 672.42$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.07 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 668.47$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.47 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a9…18a3backed LGD Gaming | 60c | 651.95$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.78 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed LGD Gaming | 48c | 622$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.48 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed LGD Gaming | 65c | 567.32$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.32 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked PlayTime | 42c | 545.67$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.05 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed LGD Gaming | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed PlayTime | 46c | 497.67$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked LGD Gaming | 59c | 480$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.7 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed LGD Gaming | 62c | 465$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.7 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed LGD Gaming | 62c | 462.94$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.41 | 204 | 42.2%86 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03e…da65backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 455.04$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.41 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed LGD Gaming | 75c | 430.09$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.91 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed PlayTime | 41c | 421.88$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.97 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab27…0c65backed LGD Gaming | 59c | 414.56$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.97 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked PlayTime | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 224 | 38.8%87 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed PlayTime | 48c | 391.65$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.32 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c0…eb88backed PlayTime | 32c | 363.72$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed LGD Gaming | 59c | 336.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.45 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed LGD Gaming | 52c | 309.09$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.44 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked LGD Gaming | 59c | 306.98$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.94 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed LGD Gaming | 69c | 287$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.79 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed PlayTime | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…a80dbacked LGD Gaming | 53c | 282.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.09 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed PlayTime | 46c | 269.78$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.87 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked LGD Gaming | 63c | 263.49$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.49 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed PlayTime | 48c | 260.25$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…08f6backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 252.01$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.94 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 246$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked PlayTime | 45c | 239.74$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.99 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PlayTime | 39c | 238.62$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.94 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed LGD Gaming | 65c | 231.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked LGD Gaming | 61c | 230.68$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.61 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked LGD Gaming | 58c | 221.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked PlayTime | 41c | 200$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5615…df5ebacked LGD Gaming | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked LGD Gaming | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed PlayTime | 20c | 199.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed PlayTime | 23c | 199.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 208 | 20.7%43 W · 165 L | -18.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…b4ffbacked LGD Gaming | 53c | 194.4$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked LGD Gaming | 72c | 191.42$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed LGD Gaming | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked LGD Gaming | 64c | 184.49$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x010b…5f66backed PlayTime | 19c | 159.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed LGD Gaming | 65c | 152.19$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed LGD Gaming | 69c | 135.91$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed PlayTime | 46c | 131.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7217…54f6backed LGD Gaming | 61c | 130.3$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked LGD Gaming | 67c | 127.59$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed LGD Gaming | 80c | 116.84$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed LGD Gaming | 69c | 113.77$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked LGD Gaming | 68c | 111.26$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 107.07$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…75f2backed PlayTime | 40c | 101.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked PlayTime | 47c | 100.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed LGD Gaming | 67c | 100.01$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked LGD Gaming | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed PlayTime | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d28…ad7cbacked PlayTime | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked PlayTime | 46c | 93.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed LGD Gaming | 70c | 93.4$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked LGD Gaming | 78c | 92$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed LGD Gaming | 60c | 91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 120 | 65.8%79 W · 41 L | +15.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed PlayTime | 37c | 90.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 90.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime (BO5) - The International South America Closed Qualifier PlayoffsLGD Gaming won
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 3 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)LGD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: LGD (-2.5) vs PlayTime (+2.5)LGD Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.